Warriors v Wests Tigers: Schick Preview

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willow
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Warriors v Wests Tigers: Schick Preview

Unread post by willow » Thu 25 Aug, 2016 8:33 pm

Warriors v Wests Tigers: Schick Preview
Thu 25 Aug, 2016, 10:05am
By Corey Rosser‌, New Zealand Correspondent , NRL.com

Schick Hydro Preview: Warriors v Wests Tigers
Mt Smart Stadium
Sunday, 4.00pm (NZT), 2.00pm (AEST)

Both the Warriors and Tigers suffered critical blows to their hopes of making the finals last week courtesy of heavy defeats, and anything but a win when they meet in Auckland on Sunday will rule either side out of contention completely.

After enjoying a successful middle part of their NRL Telstra Premiership campaign, the wheels have well and truly fallen off the wagon for the Warriors over the past fortnight, and after being demolished 34-6 by the Cowboys last start they no longer have full control of their own destiny.

It is the same story for the 10th-placed Tigers, who sit tied on points with the Warriors but with an inferior points differential.

They were no match for Penrith in a 40-10 away loss last week, marking back-to-back defeats.

The Warriors are boosted by the return of their top try-scorer Solomone Kata, who replaces Matt Allwood in the centres, while coach Andrew McFadden has recalled Tuimoala Lolohea on the wing for Ken Maumalo (hamstring).

Rookie utility Ata Hingano retains his spot on the bench and Bunty Afoa is 18th man.

The Tigers’ 17 is unchanged from last week, but David Nofoaluma shifts from wing to fullback.

Watch out Warriors: Individual errors have killed the Warriors over the past two weeks, with McFadden admitting as much in the aftermath of the slaughter in Townsville. As a team the Warriors’ stats haven't been too bad, but mistakes from individuals on both sides of the ball have seen them leak cheap points and finish with far less possession than their opponents.

They may have suffered back-to-back defeats, but the Tigers look like they have had a weight taken from their shoulders in recent weeks, and are playing a free-flowing style which is havoc to contain when they get it right. Young halves Mitchell Moses and Luke Brooks seem at their best when playing this way, while Jason Taylor’s backline full of speedsters have been popping up everywhere.

Watch out Tigers: You aren’t going to win too many games in the NRL when you miss 49 tackles, which is exactly what the Tigers came up with last week against Penrith. Six players had over four misses individually, with Kevin Naiqama and Mitchell Moses (both six) the worst offenders. If the total is anywhere near that again this week then the Tigers are unlikely to even trouble the Warriors.

One thing the Warriors haven’t struggled with at all in 2016 is breaking the line, and heading into the final two games of the season they lead the entire competition in line breaks made. Across the year the Kiwi side average 4.9 per game, and even in heavy defeats over the last two weeks they managed five against South Sydney and three against North Queensland.

Key match-up: David Fusitu’a v David Nofoaluma. Neither player has been a permanent fullback in 2016, but their numbers this year suggest this should be a quality individual battle. Despite only playing 16 games this year Fusitu’a is the Warriors’ second-highest try-scorer with 11, while he is also the club’s equal-leader when it comes to line breaks made with 14. Nofoaluma meanwhile must be a contender for the most-improved player of the year, leading the competition in tackle breaks at an average of six across his 21 games. With three tries in his last three matches he has also become the club’s joint-top try-scorer with 14.

The history: Played 26; Warriors 13, Wests Tigers 13. The Tigers have picked up the win in their two most-recent meetings, while prior to that the Warriors enjoyed a three-game streak. Since 2008 the Tigers have won only once in four trips to New Zealand.

What are the odds: Sportsbet punters are keen on the Wests Tigers at the huge price, in fact there's three times as much money invested on them in the head-to-head market. Ninety per cent of the money wagered on handicap betting is with the Wests Tigers. Latest odds at Sportsbet.com.au.

Match officials: Referee: Gerard Sutton. Assistant Referee: Alan Shortall. Touch Judges: Jeff Younis and Shane Rehm. Review Officials: Steve Chiddy and Luke Patten. Senior RO: Ashley Klein.

Televised: Fox Sports – Live coverage from 1.30pm (AEST).

How we see it: It’s effectively finals football time for both of these sides, and the situation is crystal clear: win or forget about playing in the post-season. In 2016 they have both been able to play some quality football, but never for consistent periods, and right now they are both sure to be down on confidence. Given it’s at home, where they have lost only once in their last five, the Kiwi side should have the edge. Warriors by 10.


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westTAHger
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Unread post by westTAHger » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 8:02 am

A 1 point win will satisfy me.
Depends " which team " turns up on the day for either side.
:sign: once a sprite in black and white.
now I am bold, in black, white and gold



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Unread post by Geo. » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 8:52 am

westTAHger wrote:A 1 point win will satisfy me.
Depends " which team " turns up on the day for either side.

What if they both forget to get off the bus...?
Ivan's Laws

1. You are either on the Bus or you are off..
2. The Star of the Team is the Team
3. Be the player your teammates want to play with..
Tiger Watto wrote:
Fri 03 Nov, 2017 8:07 am
Geo nailed it...

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Unread post by TrueTiger » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 9:13 am

Geo. wrote:
westTAHger wrote:A 1 point win will satisfy me.
Depends " which team " turns up on the day for either side.

What if they both forget to get off the bus...?
GEO,our blokes can't afford to miss the bus or get off it,this game is absolutely crucial not only for an 8 spot,but confidence that they can win games without Teddy...
You may see me struggle...but you will never see me quit... :D

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Unread post by GNR4LIFE » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 9:15 am

TrueTiger wrote:
Geo. wrote:
westTAHger wrote:A 1 point win will satisfy me.
Depends " which team " turns up on the day for either side.

What if they both forget to get off the bus...?
GEO,our blokes can't afford to miss the bus or get off it,this game is absolutely crucial not only for an 8 spot,but confidence that they can win games without Teddy...
It will be a Mickey Mouse game if the Titans win tonight.


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Unread post by innsaneink » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 9:32 am

We generally don't do road trips real well... Will be a tough ask to get a win here
This is a semi final for us but I don't think we're a finals team just yet

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Unread post by willow » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 10:21 am

innsaneink wrote:We generally don't do road trips real well... Will be a tough ask to get a win here
This is a semi final for us but I don't think we're a finals team just yet
Agree. Won't be surprised if the Titans knock over Penrith tonight.

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Unread post by diedpretty » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 12:48 pm

willow wrote:
innsaneink wrote:We generally don't do road trips real well... Will be a tough ask to get a win here
This is a semi final for us but I don't think we're a finals team just yet
Agree. Won't be surprised if the Titans knock over Penrith tonight.
Yeah with Penrith securing a spot last week they may come off the boil tonight. The only upside would be they want to finish in 5th or sixth ( both unlikely ) to secure a semi final in Sydney.

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Unread post by barra » Sat 27 Aug, 2016 12:52 pm

All things considered I can't see how we can get a win here. Just hope it doesn't get ugly.

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Unread post by sideline eye » Mon 29 Aug, 2016 4:17 pm

Well, they can now Schick their predictions where it will do the most good.

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