TAB NRL 2018 odds

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Masterton
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Re: TAB NRL 2018 odds

Unread post by Masterton » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:00 pm

I think the odds for us making the 8 are overs, and I'd have a crack if I weren't a fan.
"I was on the bus before you painted it yellow."


Eddie
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Unread post by Eddie » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:01 pm

supercoach wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 11:42 am
The people who set these boards don’t do it with their hearts, they do it by looking at each team and ranking them. Okay every year there are bolters and crashers, but If I was setting a board I would also have them close to the bottom, when you compare our squad with most others it falls behind them. Iam not writing them off, but with nothing to go off except looking at rosters I think the ranking is about right
100% right.

TAB do not make markets to goad punters.

They make markets to make money.

We have missed the 8 for 6 years straight and have just lost arguably our 3 vest players.

No surprises we are ranked on the last line of betting.
Last edited by Eddie on Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.

happy tiger
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Unread post by happy tiger » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:34 pm

Massive difference between 2005 and now , we had shown lots of promise and the game before they gave us the 150-1 odds was Brisbane , and if we could have held onto the ball in the last 15 minutes we probably would have 50-44

Our draw was extremely favourable bar the Melbourne game in 2005

I'm not saying we aren't worth a lazy small bet but we really need to se something first don't we

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Tiger Come Lately
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Unread post by Tiger Come Lately » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:46 pm

I'm not a betting man, but it doesn't surprise me given the change over of players and coaches.

But the number crunchers don't always get it right. I think we are going to be the surprise package this coming year.

Balmainbred
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Unread post by Balmainbred » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 8:02 pm

What odds do they have us at makeing the 8.I gather that $51 is for the comp.


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jirskyr
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Unread post by jirskyr » Mon 11 Dec, 2017 9:04 pm

Eddie wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 7:01 pm
supercoach wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 11:42 am
The people who set these boards don’t do it with their hearts, they do it by looking at each team and ranking them. Okay every year there are bolters and crashers, but If I was setting a board I would also have them close to the bottom, when you compare our squad with most others it falls behind them. Iam not writing them off, but with nothing to go off except looking at rosters I think the ranking is about right
100% right.

TAB do not make markets to goad punters.

They make markets to make money.
Well sometimes goading punters and making money come from the same activity. Bookies need to make odds enticing enough to get punters in, especially with the number of online bookmakers now. If your odds are eternally stingy then you won't generate the business.

Sometimes bookies also run special juicy odds or deals to draw in punters, especially during lead-ins to peak periods like Spring Carnival and the opening rounds of the footy season. Sportsbet for example tend to run the first 6 or so weeks of NRL with money-back deals on teams leading or first try scorers who score at any time.

So in reality Tigers are $1001 to win the comp in 2018 but that's too risky, whereas $25/1 is too conservative. Should we be next to last in the betting? Prob not but that's only an opinion.

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Geo.
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Unread post by Geo. » Tue 02 Jan, 2018 6:11 pm

1. Can
2. People
3. Please
4. Stop
5. Trying
6. To
7. Predict
8. Next
9. Year's
10. NRL
11. Ladder
12. It's
13. Still
14. Bloody
15. January
16. Manly
Ivan's Laws

1. You are either on the Bus or you are off..
2. The Star of the Team is the Team
3. Be the player your teammates want to play with..
Tiger Watto wrote:
Fri 03 Nov, 2017 8:07 am
Geo nailed it...

wt01
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Unread post by wt01 » Tue 02 Jan, 2018 8:22 pm

Geo. wrote:
Tue 02 Jan, 2018 6:11 pm
1. Can
2. People
3. Please
4. Stop
5. Trying
6. To
7. Predict
8. Next
9. Year's
10. NRL
11. Ladder
12. It's
13. Still
14. Bloody
15. January
16. Manly
:roll i love it u put manly last.....very thoughtful ;)
Marshall Magix

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Unread post by Munk » Tue 02 Jan, 2018 9:04 pm

Of course the squad is last on the line betting.
It has completely been revamped after losing its top three players, is totaly unproven and has a tough draw.
Will it remain last on line by round 14? I doubt it but we'll soon see.

happy tiger
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Unread post by happy tiger » Tue 02 Jan, 2018 9:12 pm

If you like the odds take them , if you don't , don't

Simple

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oldprop
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Unread post by oldprop » Tue 02 Jan, 2018 11:31 pm

wt01 wrote:
Tue 02 Jan, 2018 8:22 pm
Geo. wrote:
Tue 02 Jan, 2018 6:11 pm
1. Can
2. People
3. Please
4. Stop
5. Trying
6. To
7. Predict
8. Next
9. Year's
10. NRL
11. Ladder
12. It's
13. Still
14. Bloody
15. January
16. Manly
:roll i love it u put manly last.....very thoughtful ;)
Best post of the pre-season.
Need more props.

happy tiger
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Unread post by happy tiger » Wed 03 Jan, 2018 12:08 am

Geo. wrote:
Tue 02 Jan, 2018 6:11 pm
1. Canberra
2. Penrith
3. Cowboys
4. Storm
5. Titans
6. Tigers
7. Dogs
8. Newcastle
9. Rabbitohs
10. New Zealand
11. Parramatta
12. Sharks
13. Saints
14. Broncos
15. Roosters
16. Manly
Mate , bit early yet to predict 1-16 OK

Only January still ;)

PS Your not good either , Roosters 15th .... :D

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Unread post by tsjonathan » Wed 03 Jan, 2018 10:41 am

innsaneink wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 12:59 pm
We're 7/2 for top 8....when you consider that covers 1st thru to 8th and all in between ...that might be a better bet
that's a good bet, it's been close to 8 years since we made the 8. We're due!

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Tigerdon
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Unread post by Tigerdon » Wed 03 Jan, 2018 9:42 pm

I noticed Ladbrokes have us at $4 to make the 8. I put a little bit on that. If the odds after the first five games go upwards towards $8 ...to make the 8 ...I'll put a bit more on.
Ivan "Billy Beane from Moneyball" Cleary!
It's the Ivan of the tiger, It's the thrill of the fight...

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Cultured Bogan
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Unread post by Cultured Bogan » Thu 04 Jan, 2018 11:38 am

TigerSkins wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 1:17 pm
I can remember the Tigers being something like 150 to 1 in 2005, thanks very much TAB, I was a very happy Tigers supporter come the end of the season .. !!
I got on them at 81-1 that year, never forget turning my room over the find the bloody ticket.
I swing like hell but know full well that I won't win the fight, but big man I'm the beta male that's gonna ruin your night...

Fuerza en la adversidad.

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TIGER
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Unread post by TIGER » Thu 11 Jan, 2018 8:07 am

Anyone keen to have a wager with me I'm offering double what the tab or any betting agency is offering.
I offer this every year but no body wants to take me up on it, despite how much they want to "talk" up our chances, i wonder why?

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Unread post by Carefactor » Thu 11 Jan, 2018 8:28 am

tigerap wrote:
Mon 11 Dec, 2017 8:51 am
I see the TAB has the Tigers last on the line of betting for 2018 at $51..

The warriors, dogs, Rabbits are ahead of us at $41, $34, $19!..

Even the basket case raiders are $15.Wow...I can't believe we are rated so lowly.

Spewing....
Lol we are $81 now.

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Spartan117
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Unread post by Spartan117 » Thu 11 Jan, 2018 1:07 pm

We are a bottom 4 side this year and the next few years.

We have paid overs for a hodge podge of average players who will enjoy their pay packets.

Answer This one (Without Flaming me)

Which player in our current squad would a non tiger really want to play with. in 2019.

Im hoping Coach Cleary can create something that is not embarrassing in 2018

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