Recent content by tom620

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    The J(uro) Curve

    That sucks.. Sorry to hear about that. Unfortunately we can probably guess which way the curve was going to go..
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    Live game thread: Souths V Tigers

    Johns changed his tip based on the pitch not having much dew. They reckon that it will favor the tigers as it is dry and should allow fast play. We will see. Hopefully being captain will make Anasta fire up and he can get good ball to the wing.
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    Live game thread: Souths V Tigers

    Watching on channel 9.. Johns should really stop using his middle finger on the touch screen - he has given me the finger at least 4 times.
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    A couple of Tigers rejects doing well

    Don't you think that Brown's current form would mean that Lawrence would have to miss out on a spot at centre (at least for a while until he got some form)? Brown has scored quite a few for the Dogs. 16 or so in 30 odd games.
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    WT fan reacts to Tedesco

    In Lakra's vid there are even two proud supporters in the background wearing black/gold and black/white hoops. Great stuff.
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    Is Potter really capable of making the big calls?

    This is central for me as well. Brooks is still so young and having another inexperienced half would add a lot of pressure. We need to trust that Moses will improve in U20s and then get some game time when SOO is done and/or making the top 8 is determined. Next year is when we should see a...
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    ![](http://i57.tinypic.com/20kq92o.jpg) Here is the Figure that I keep referring to. Should cut to the chase and show some of the differences across years.
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    Good question. The differences are statistically significant, but I haven't highlighted this too much as I see the differences as being numerically significant. Controlling for team quality (via the incorporation of the number of competition points and the for and against before each match...
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    Over time teams are having more success at ANZ, but generally this is against teams that share the stadium. The Traditional Sydney Stadiums have a stronger home advantage. It goes to show that the financial stability issue of getting a guaranteed windfall from playing at ANZ is a big deal...
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    The probabilities are adjusted for opponent strength - so the fact that Manly have won 75% of home games also depends upon the quality of their team and the opponent they play at Brookvale. Teams like the Tigers and the Bulldogs are easier to compare as they tend to play across a range of...
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    Here is a summary of the probability of a home team win for different stadiums. Leichhardt and Campbelltown would be classified as Traditional Sydney Stadiums, with Homebush and the SFS being Shared Sydney Stadiums. Note that Home Team Win Percentages are the actual percent of home team wins...
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    Research on Home Team Advantage in the NRL

    Just wanted to forward on some more research that recently came out. Between 2001 and 2012, 114 games were played at a shared Sydney stadium with the co-sharer. In these cases, the main difference for the competitors has been assumed to be control of marketing the game, control of where members...
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    Tigers team for the Sharkies

    Simona back was one change I didnt know was coming..
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    Tigers team for the Sharkies

    1\. K. Rowe, 2\. D. Nofoaluma, 3\. T. Simona, 4\. C. Lawrence, 5\. P. Richards, 6\. B. Anasta, 7\. L. Brooks, 8\. A. Woods, 9\. R. Farah, 10\. K. Galloway, 11\. C. Paterson, 12\. B. Thompson, 13\. A. Blair. Interchange: 14\. M. Taupau, 15\. A. Semanufagai, 16\. B. Austin, 17\. S. Sue...
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    Research on salary cap violations

    One thing we raise is how the salary cap deals with key young players who might have been undervalued. The difficult thing about discussing specific teams is that there is no transparency on who is paid what. In the long run, young players who get paid little but over perform should be hard to...
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