Broncos v Wests Tigers Preview

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Broncos v Wests Tigers Preview
NRL.comWed, 30 Jun 2010 16:13

Broncos v Wests Tigers
Suncorp Stadium
Friday 7.35pm

Once upon a time (in 2002) a famous ‘baby Broncos’ team travelled to Campbelltown and humiliated a near full-strength Wests Tigers outfit during an Origin series.

But these days, the Origin depletion for Brisbane is far less severe and as such they can still be expected to compete, and perhaps win, this important clash against a Wests Tigers side devoid of a state rep, but with a few injuries.

After taking care of the Eels last weekend the Broncos return home to Suncorp Stadium in sixth place on the NRL ladder and with the Tigers in their sights.

In third, but just two competition points ahead, the Wests Tigers are licking the burns the Dragons inflicted on them last week.

This game could be a defining moment in the season for both sides, as a win for the Tigers would give them great impetus to remain in the top four, while a Broncos win could move them into the home finals zone (or at least very close).

On the other side of the coin, losses for both teams see them fall significantly backwards. The Tigers would be out of the top four and the Broncos potentially out of the top eight.

The sting of the embarrassing loss back in 2002 still lingers around the Tigers’ camp, even though no-one involved was playing back then.

Every year it gets a mention, and while the Broncos are only missing Darren Lockyer, Sam Thaiday and Israel Folau this season, it is still a young Brisbane side they should be able to beat.

The Broncos’ trio are replaced by Corey Norman at five-eighth, Ben Te’o at centre and Ashton Sims in the second row. Nick Kenny will also start at prop, shifting Lagi Setu to second row.

The new pair on the bench is Scott Anderson and Josh McGuire.

The Wests Tigers remain without a recognised halfback and have selected Daniel Fitzhenry in the jersey this week. This pushes Benji Marshall back to five-eighth, Blake Asyhford back to centre and Geoff Daniela onto the wing to replace the injured Beau Ryan.

The bench has mass changes, with Mark Flanagan and Junior Moors gone and four new faces in Andrew Fifita, Liam Fulton, Mitch Brown and Nathan Waters.

Watch out Broncos: The Wests Tigers will attack from anywhere – and with stats on their side, they will almost certainly look to shift the ball from within their half this week.

The Tigers have scored more tries from over halfway than any other side in the NRL. On 15 occasions, which is more than one a match, they have gone from long range for four points. The Broncos have conceded 11 tries from this distance, making them the worst team in the NRL.

You can be sure the visitors will let the ball sing a fair bit.

Watch out Wests Tigers: No-one can replace the legend Darren Lockyer but young Corey Norman is a budding star and needs to be paid some respect. The last time he filled in for Lockyer the Broncos belted the Rabbitohs and Norman had a blinder.

On that day he ran for 176 metres, had nine tackle-breaks, a try assist, made three line-breaks and 15 tackles (missing none). He was also error-free.

If the Wests Tigers assume he’ll be a back seat passenger to Peter Wallace, they’ll get burned.

Where it will be won: This match is all about line-breaks and converting them to points.

The Broncos are the second most prolific line-breakers in the NRL but are also the worst in the NRL at conceding line-breaks. They have posted 79 of their own but conceded 81 this year.

The Wests Tigers are a little behind with 61 line-breaks but when they get through, they invariably score – unlike the Broncos. Benji Marshall could have a touch football-style field day in this match, provided Keith Galloway and Bryce Gibbs get the team rolling forward first. But the Broncos youngsters can also find a way through and if the Wests Tigers’ scramble defence is poor, they’ll be staring at a points deficit early.

With their number one line-break weapon in Folau missing, the Broncos will rely heavily on his replacement Ben Te’o (nine line-breaks) and fullback Josh Hoffman (eight line-breaks) but the Tigers should be aware every Bronco barring Mitchell Dodds, Nick Kenny, Josh McGuire and Ashton Sims has busted through at least once this year.

For the Tigers, Chris Lawrence and Lote Tuqiri (returning to Suncorp for the first time since 2002) are the main men with nine line-breaks each. Only Keith Galloway, Nathan Waters and Todd Payten haven’t pushed through the line this season.

Whichever side shuts down the breaks conceded and finishes off the ones they will no doubt get, will emerge the victor.

The history: Played 17; Broncos 13, Wests Tigers 3, drawn 1\. The Broncos have won six of the past eight between the clubs, including four on the trot. Two points and a single point decided the past two encounters respectively.

At Suncorp Stadium the Broncos lead 4-2, with the Tigers last getting success on the ground in 2006\. Brisbane haven’t been defeated in consecutive home games since August 2007.

Conclusion: The loss of Origin stars tips the balance away from the home-side Broncos and into the laps of the Wests Tigers. They should be good enough to get over the top of Brisbane but this is no certainty.

If Brisbane can stay physical and committed to the cause, they can frustrate the Tigers who might push the envelope too far.

Match officials: Referees – Ben Cummins & Matt Cecchin; Sideline Officials – Jeff Younis & Ricky McFarlane; Video Ref – Sean Hampstead.

Televised: Channel Nine – Live 7.30pm; Fox Sports – Delayed 10pm.
 

Brisbane_Tiger

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Brain says Broncos by 8\. (no lui or moops)
Heart says Tigers by 30 (so the boncs lose all there points for)
Liver say's noooo (LA bar afterwards)
 

biggest_tigers_fan

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**The bench has mass changes, with Mark Flanagan and Junior Moors gone and four new faces in Andrew Fifita, Liam Fulton, Mitch Brown and Nathan Waters.**

wheres simon dwyer :deadhorse:
 

westTAHger

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what has me concerned is that, last time broncos were missing players due to origin they gave souths a hiding.
if wests-tigers are patient, they can come away with the two points.
don't push the stupid pass when it's not on etc.
 

arakaan

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@westTAHger said:
what has me concerned is that, last time broncos were missing players due to origin they gave souths a hiding.

Souths were missing there entire forward pack bar Asotasi that day. That game greatly exaggerated the Broncos performance without their 3 main guys.
 

Golden

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this isn't the baby broncos… they have 3 players out thats it.. last year they beat us too without those 3 players
 

Golden

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@biggest tigers fan said:
**The bench has mass changes, with Mark Flanagan and Junior Moors gone and four new faces in Andrew Fifita, Liam Fulton, Mitch Brown and Nathan Waters.**

wheres simon dwyer :deadhorse:

Waters wont be in there if Farah plays I thought he was only 18 man anyway
 
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Laurie Daley's round 17 preview

Fox Sports commentator Laurie Daley offers his thoughts and predictions for round 16 of the NRL premiership.

Brisbane Broncos v Wests Tigers, Suncorp Stadium, Friday 7.35pm (EST)
The Broncos have a few out which will disrupt them. They have won six of their last seven so they are on a bit of a roll. This will be their big test though against the Tigers who are running third and are unaffected by Origin. If the Tigers consider themselves a top-four team then taking on an understrength Broncos is a game they really should win. When you look at no Israel Folau, no Sam Thaiday and no Darren Lockyer, they are big losses. Then you look at Benji Marshall and Robbie Farah for the Tigers looking to exploit Brisbane on the fringes, the Tigers should win this by a two-try margin.
 

Yossarian

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@willow said:
Laurie Daley's round 17 preview

Fox Sports commentator Laurie Daley offers his thoughts and predictions for round 16 of the NRL premiership.

Brisbane Broncos v Wests Tigers, Suncorp Stadium, Friday 7.35pm (EST)
The Broncos have a few out which will disrupt them. They have won six of their last seven so they are on a bit of a roll. This will be their big test though against the Tigers who are running third and are unaffected by Origin. If the Tigers consider themselves a top-four team then taking on an understrength Broncos is a game they really should win. When you look at no Israel Folau, no Sam Thaiday and no Darren Lockyer, they are big losses. Then you look at Benji Marshall and Robbie Farah for the Tigers looking to exploit Brisbane on the fringes, the Tigers should win this by a two-try margin.

He forgot to add unaffected by origin because of his own stupid selections…
 
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Preview: Broncos v Wests Tigers
01/07/2010 3:05 AM
Scott Brooks
Sportal
VENUE & TIME: Suncorp Stadium, Friday, July 2, 7.35pm (AEST)
COVERAGE: Channel 9
HEAD TO HEADPlayed 17, Broncos 13, Tigers 3, draws 1
LAST TIME: Broncos 20 – Tigers 18 at Campbelltown Stadium, Round 11, 2009

WALKING WOUNDED: Origin has stripped the Broncos of Darren Lockyer, Sam Thaiday and Israel Folau for this clash, giving rookie Corey Norman a start in Lockyer's pivot position and forwards Scott Anderson and Josh McGuire a run on the bench. Nick Kenny has been promoted to a front-row starting spot, shifting Lagi Setu to the second-row. Star centre Justin Hodges is eyeing off a Round 20 return from his Achilles injury. For the Tigers, Beau Ryan, Junior Moors and Mark Flanagan miss out this week, allowing Andrew Fifita (ankle) and Liam Fulton (shoulder) returns from injury on the bench. Former Shark Mitch Brown should also get a run off the bench. The in-form Ryan will be out for a couple of weeks with a shoulder injury, as will half-back Robert Lui (knee). Coach Tim Sheens has opted for the versatile Daniel Fitzhenry in the No. 7 jersey this week.

FORM: The Broncos' loss to the Panthers a fortnight ago, which ended a five-match winning streak, proved only a minor glitch after Ivan Henjak's men produced a steely defensive effort to repel a committed, but directionless Eels side at Parramatta Stadium last Saturday night. Brisbane was forced to defend its line on countless occasions in the second-half, yet held firm to emerge deserved four-point winners. It was a finals-type defensive performance from a side that had a massive problem preventing points earlier in the season. The Tigers predictably had their four-match winning streak broken at WIN Jubilee Oval last Friday night against the clinical Dragons. With their halves' structure in disarray, it was always going to be a difficult mountain to climb, but the Tigers performed admirably until the final few minutes when the Dragons ran away with the game. Despite the loss, they remain in third position.

WHO'S HOT: A good illustration of just how potent the current Queensland Origin team is would be to take a look at the quality of players that cannot make the side. Broncos lock and stand-in skipper for this week, Corey Parker, is one of those unfortunate players, who keeps producing week-in-week-out, only to see his name constantly missing from the Maroons' team list. He's been there before, but a player of his quality should have racked up at least a dozen Origin games by now. He was brilliant against the Eels last Saturday, gaining maximum Dally M points.

WE THINK: The last time the Broncos were missing their three Origin stars they piled on 50 points against the Rabbitohs, proving there is more depth in this club than people think. With that in mind, and the fact the Tigers' are struggling with a couple of sidelined No. 7s, the Broncos look the goods to secure their fifth successive win over the black and golds. There may be no Lockyer in the Brisbane line-up, but Peter Wallace is a smart operator who should relish the extra playmaking responsibilities. Broncos by 6.
 
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Brisbane Broncos v Wests Tigers
GREG PRICHARD
July 2, 2010

Friday, Suncorp Stadium, 7.35pm
Referees: Ben Cummins and Matt Cecchin
Head to head: Broncos 13, Tigers 3, drawn 1
Last clash: Broncos 20-18 at Campbelltown Stadium (rd 11, 2009)
TAB SportsBet: Broncos $2.50, Tigers $1.50
FootyTab: Broncos +4.5

Some people suggested Tigers coach Tim Sheens should be careful what he wishes for when he recently said his players weren't getting the recognition they deserved at representative selection time, and that several of them should be frontline contenders for the NSW team. Well, the Tigers were again snubbed for State of Origin III, but their opponents here have lost their usual trio of stars to Queensland. Darren Lockyer, Sam Thaiday and Israel Folau are all out of the Broncos side.

The Tigers are without several players due to injury, so they do have their own concerns, but if the competition draw allows you to play the Broncos when they are without a trio of such quality then you have been given a genuine opportunity, and it's now up to the Tigers to show if they can take it on the road. The Broncos played tough on the road against the Eels last weekend, winning 10-6\. The Tigers lost 34-10 to competition leaders the Dragons, with that game getting right away from them in the closing stages.
 
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