Return of Tim Simona

[jirskyr]

I expect a much better performance against Souths, not just because it's hard to perform worse than against Canberra, but because of the return of Tim Simona.

Since 2014 we are 18/39 (46.15%) when Simona plays and 2/17 (11.76%) when he is missing. This is the best win rate for any player and second worst loss rate for that player missing (Woods is the highest with 1 win from 9 games missed) during this period.

I am not sure if we really miss Simona badly, or just because his replacements have been Milone (0 wins from 6 starts = 0.00%), Delouise Hoeter (1 win from 7 starts = 14.29%) and Lovett (8 wins from 29 starts = 27.59%).

The winningest players for 2014-2016 (overall team win rate 20/56 = 35.71%):
Simona 18/39 = 46.15%
Nofoaluma 14/32 = 43.75%
Woods 19/47 = 40.43%
Farah 16/40 = 40.00%
Richards 17/43 = 39.53%

Losingest players (played 5 or more games):
Milone 0/6 = 0.00%
Hoeter 1/7 = 14.29%
Halatau 9/36 = 25.00%
Grant 2/8 = 25.00%
Aloiai 2/8 = 25.00%

Worst record without (missed 5 or more):
Woods 1/9 = 11.11%
Simona 2/17 = 11.76%
Brooks 1/5 = 20.00%
Richards 1/5 = 20.00% (edit)
Farah 4/16 = 25.00% and Nofo 6/24 = 25.00%

Anyone guess the player with more than 5 games missed, without whom we have the best win record? Not who you might expect…

 

[Doc_Tiger]

Wow, Dene has a poor record in these stats.

 

[Winnipeg]

I'm intrigued

Simons definitely adds another option in attack - he can beat a defender and set up his winger, Milone sadly isn't worrying the defenders too much

 

[Eddie]

You nailed it when you said who his replacements are.

Milone, Hoeter and Lovett.

Were about 12-18 points worse off with any of those starting in the centres as a rough guess.

 

[Geo]

I'll go… Lawrence to the answer of the mystery question...

Simona will be a welcome inclusion...

 

[Dingo]

surely he needs to make his way back through the reggies, super star Milone is in front of him.

 

[maxxy86]

Just hope his tackling technique has improved lol…but it has been such a shame he being on the sideline for 3 wks without being injured. He's missed way too many games through Injury in his short career to date.

 

[stevetiger]

You nailed it when you said who his replacements are.

Milone, Hoeter and Lovett.

Were about 12-18 points worse off with any of those starting in the centres as a rough guess.

It creates a massive weakness on that side when Simona is gone. Rankin is better than Richards on that side though so the stats are a little more extreme than what they should be.

 

[jirskyr]

I'll go… Lawrence to the answer of the mystery question...

Simona will be a welcome inclusion...

It's Mitchell Moses.

Since start 2014 Moses has been absent from 14 games and we won 8 of those = 57.14%.

Next closest is Halatau (missed 20 won 11 = 55.00%), then Lawrence (missed 9 won 4 = 44.44%), Hoeter (missed 17 won 7 = 41.18%), Buchanan and Santi equal (missed 37 won 15 = 40.54%).

I included every match if that player played that season, so for example Buchanan counts as missing 5 this year because he played 3, 2016 games are not counted for Hoeter etc.

 

[Guest]

Simona will be a welcome addition to the team this week. It won't be enough to get us a win though.