The reason being that AD is choking our attack. He has a great running game, and no one is arguing against that. I dug deep into this as a deep dive prior to the season (
here) and the question that still needs to be answered is:
What is the root cause of our inconsistency — lack of power, or lack of control?
When we played the Cows we were facing a team that does not defend well in the halves and on the edges and AD had time and space to operate and he did an excellent job. He was able to create from 7 and provide for his outside backs. However, if we look at the gaem critically, we left a lot of points out there because he ran too much and strangled the right edge a fair bit.
If we look at the Souths game theor up and in defence stifled his attack. He did not have the same leeway provided by the Cows and he was restricted - and this restricted our attack across the board. He continued to step back inside due to the outside corridor being shut down. He was still effective due to his strength - but the blueprint for how to shut our attack down was on show for all to see.
You could argue that with May and Toa out we lack power in the backline and with Romey out we lack spark so AD is a must start at 7 (or 6 where he is currently playing). Certainly the performance against the Wahs supports that perspective. However, in that game three things stood out: he was provided time and space through Madden digging deep into the line and getting the ball out in front of him; he is not an explosive runner and time and space is a key enabler for him; and his long passing left to right is poor.
Against Parra he was well contained by the up and in defence and his time and space was limited (similar to Souths). He was most effective when provided with the space by KPP and Madden was able to control us around the park well. His kicking game is pretty accurate and our attack really benefits from hi straightening us up; whereas AD and Romey are both quite lateral with the ball in hand - AD especially when the inside pressure is high - Romey because he is all over the shop. He also again demonstrated that his passing game is not that of a half - too many over the sideline or on the ground efforts.
So let's go back to the question that we were left with at the end of the deep dive:
What is the root cause of our inconsistency — lack of power, or lack of control? We have a small sample size but let's look at it to see what can be unpacked.
We have had AD's power available for our first four games, and he has certaily made a difference - but that difference has also stifled our attack. When provided with time and space he can be an effective 6, and we already knew that from our previous experience with him there. It is also true, at the same time, that he does not cope will with defensive pressure.
His effectivness was demonstrated against the Wahs when Madden provided him the space and against Parra when he shifted his attack to outside KPP. Souths and Parra both demonstrated that his game is adversely affected by defensive pressure and this results in not only his running game being affected - but the strangulation of his outside men.
This demonstrates, to me, that what control is the key to unlocking our attacking potential. Sure we lack a bit of power due to injuries - but that will not last the season and our backups are doing a reasonable job. AD definitely has a spot in the team - but, despite his football IQ, I think him playing at 7 is detrimental to our attack.
The dilemma for Benji is that he made a choice in the pre-season not to work on AD as a hybrid 13 and focus on him soley as a half - so can we successfully do a mid season transition without affecting our attacking style?
It is not a problem for this very moment as we are scraping by; however, Souths have demonstrated how to strangle us out of the game, and Parra did a reasonable job on AD as well. The blueprint for how to shut AD down at 7(6) is out there - can he adapt? Time will tell.
For mine, we will be a better team in attack when we have better control. AD still wearing 7 probably indicates in Benji's mindset though.