Wooden Spoon Favourites for 2018 with bookies?

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If nothing else the OP has generated 3 pages of responses. But….really?

I haven't seen the market but I would be pretty sure that the odds would be very conservative at this early stage of betting. Convert those odds to percentages and you will get a good sense of how the odds makers would be protecting their backsides.

I think it means two-thirds of three-quarters of bugger all tbh.

It's gonna be a looooong off season it seems.
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Yep it will be. This is the time of the year when we are at our best. When no ones playing against us.
I've long lost the off season rush of confidence that it'll be different next season.
I've got a real wrap on the Coach , but still think we've rushed into some of our buys, in the hopes of not missing out. I think that some of our young blokes that came up this year will be a better bet than Quite a few of our signings .
But they're not at the stage where they will dominate anybody.
Someone was talking about strike players. We don't have any, and unless Brooks has a transformation over the Summer. It wouldn't matter if we did have any strike players. We need him to learn how to manage a game and to take control of the team.

Repeat dropouts , aren't his speciality, and he should spend the summer practising his kicking from about 20 meters out.
The only way his kicks do any damage is to give the defence sore shins.
I'd love to see him Brain it. But he must be running out of chances soon .
 
I am not overly confident for next season , I do not see a forward pack that will dominate week to week ,Brooks is my problem I really do not think he will get much better than he has been showing to be honest.Things should be better with the roster and coach and with things settled down with in the club,an improvement yes but there are other teams around us that will also improve you would have to think ….the bookies are there abouts one thinks around bottom four for a majority of the season.
 
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@ said:
How very wrong you are!
Our spine is above average and has potential to be great.

I never cease to smile when I read your posts Ben - the future support of West Tigers is secure with fans like you. Keep it up young man - one day you'll be rewarded with a premiership.
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That would be a second premiership.
 
@ said:
Ben is at the stage Milky was at a few years ago. Making a big deal of a lot of irelevant stuff. Seems to have a good RL brain for a kid his age though.
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Oh hell. Along with offering comments on the progress of the team, we're now profiling the progress of the forum contributors!! We need to get over ourselves I think!
 
@ said:
@ said:
Ben is at the stage Milky was at a few years ago. Making a big deal of a lot of irelevant stuff. Seems to have a good RL brain for a kid his age though.

Oh hell. Along with offering comments on the progress of the team, we're now profiling the progress of the forum contributors!! We need to get over ourselves I think!
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LCA hasn't been getting the metres he normally gets.
 
@ said:
@ said:
Ben is at the stage Milky was at a few years ago. Making a big deal of a lot of irelevant stuff. Seems to have a good RL brain for a kid his age though.

Oh hell. Along with offering comments on the progress of the team, we're now profiling the progress of the forum contributors!! We need to get over ourselves I think!
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I've been reading your posts for 6 years LCA, and I have to say, this sort of post isn't your go.
 
@ said:
@ said:
@ said:
Ben is at the stage Milky was at a few years ago. Making a big deal of a lot of irelevant stuff. Seems to have a good RL brain for a kid his age though.

Oh hell. Along with offering comments on the progress of the team, we're now profiling the progress of the forum contributors!! We need to get over ourselves I think!

I've been reading your posts for 6 years LCA, and I have to say, this sort of post isn't your go.
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Off season hits some of us harder than others
 
@ said:
@ said:
@ said:
How very wrong you are!
Our spine is above average and has potential to be great.

I never cease to smile when I read your posts Ben - the future support of West Tigers is secure with fans like you. Keep it up young man - one day you'll be rewarded with a premiership.

That would be a second premiership.
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Ben wouldn't remember the first one Col, he was only a baby!
 
@ said:
@ said:
If nothing else the OP has generated 3 pages of responses. But….really?

I haven't seen the market but I would be pretty sure that the odds would be very conservative at this early stage of betting. Convert those odds to percentages and you will get a good sense of how the odds makers would be protecting their backsides.

I think it means two-thirds of three-quarters of bugger all tbh.

It's gonna be a looooong off season it seems.

Yep it will be. This is the time of the year when we are at our best. When no ones playing against us.
I've long lost the off season rush of confidence that it'll be different next season.
I've got a real wrap on the Coach , but still think we've rushed into some of our buys, in the hopes of not missing out. I think that some of our young blokes that came up this year will be a better bet than Quite a few of our signings .
But they're not at the stage where they will dominate anybody.
Someone was talking about strike players. We don't have any, and unless Brooks has a transformation over the Summer. It wouldn't matter if we did have any strike players. We need him to learn how to manage a game and to take control of the team.

Repeat dropouts , aren't his speciality, and he should spend the summer practising his kicking from about 20 meters out.
The only way his kicks do any damage is to give the defence sore shins.
I'd love to see him Brain it. But he must be running out of chances soon .
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GCT, I think Cleary sees Brooks as a pet project.
He is going to work him hard in the preseason to show improvement in 2018 with another off season and then his last year on contract for 2019\. He has to step up somewhat or he is gone.
 
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@ said:
Bookies don't run their business using emotion.
They look at this year and where we finished and then take in players coming and going.

The stark reality is we finished 2017 at the low end of the table and have since lost our two rep players in Woods and Tedesco as well as Moses.

Time will tell and bookies are quick to change odds.

Having worked for the TAB for 6 years I got to know the guys that set the markets very well. They are all actuaries with Degrees in mathematics from the best universities in Sydney. They look at stats, historical views and each player to the ent degree. They have a massive mainframe computer that does all their calculations for them. They have zero (part of the job spec) allegiance to any team or player. All emotion is taken out of the equation. They don't get it correct every time but they better than any of us even on a good day.
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And you have to be careful of purely stat based predictions, and what stats are considered. A couple of years ago a team not expected to make the playoffs in baseball won the World Series. When the bookies and co went back over the season they realized their rating of this team was faulty because they traditionally did not include relief pitching stats. The Kansas City Royals won because they had assembled a closing pitcher roster close to the best in the 120 year history of the game.
 
@ said:
@ said:
@ said:
Bookies don't run their business using emotion.
They look at this year and where we finished and then take in players coming and going.

The stark reality is we finished 2017 at the low end of the table and have since lost our two rep players in Woods and Tedesco as well as Moses.

Time will tell and bookies are quick to change odds.

Having worked for the TAB for 6 years I got to know the guys that set the markets very well. They are all actuaries with Degrees in mathematics from the best universities in Sydney. They look at stats, historical views and each player to the ent degree. They have a massive mainframe computer that does all their calculations for them. They have zero (part of the job spec) allegiance to any team or player. All emotion is taken out of the equation. They don't get it correct every time but they better than any of us even on a good day.

And you have to be careful of purely stat based predictions, and what stats are considered. A couple of years ago a team not expected to make the playoffs in baseball won the World Series. When the bookies and co went back over the season they realized their rating of this team was faulty because they traditionally did not include relief pitching stats. The Kansas City Royals won because they had assembled a closing pitcher roster close to the best in the 120 year history of the game.
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Pin-Heads often miss the abstract
 
Setting football markets 12 months in advance is like pinning a tail on the donkey blind folded, especially when trying to pick a candidate for the spoon. Just to many variables to consider, and basically these markets are being set on 2017 form and the perceived strength of the 2018 playing rosters.

Form very seldom carries from one year to another and as for us you would think with Cleary having the whole off season to work with his playing group that things must improve, although the loss of Teddy and Woods will be a big hurdle to over come.

As for me, if I was forced to nominate a wooden spooner for 2018, I would be looking at the Titans or the Warriors. I think next year you have some certainties to make the 8, Storm,Chooks,sharks and maybe the Cows plus Parra but than you can nearly throw a blanket over the rest of the field. Every year a fancied team runs dead and battler exceeds expectations.

Anyway lets hope our team is the battler that exceeds expectations because another bad year will put our club to the sword
 
so much depends on the draw these days. the eels had a very average roster yet played 9 games against top 8 sides and had a run of playing 14 games in 16 weeks at ANZ stadium which helped them to the top 4.
 
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