One week up, one week down (and a little bit further down than we went up) is so often the story of our seasons, before either imploding (usually) or soaring upwards (very rarely).

The loss, and heavy damage to our F/A saw our chances dip to 48%. We are still slightly above our average from 2000-18 (46%).

Key numbers after 8 rounds:

2% chance of minor premiership (-3%)

– Roosters are 28% (+6%)

– Rabbitohs are 26% (+6%)

– Storm are 13% (-9%)

– The bunch coming last (Bulldogs through to Warriors) are all about 0.1% - 0.2% (-0.4%)

16% chance of finishing in top 4 (-9%) (Roosters are 73%, Rabbitohs are 70%, Storm are 53%, Bulldogs are 2%)

48% chance of finishing in top 8 (-11%) (Roosters are 94%, Rabbitohs are 93%, Storm are 84%, Bulldogs are 16%)

19% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (+4%) (Bulldogs are 56%, Panthers are 52%, Roosters are 1%)

3% chance of wooden spoon (+1%)

– Bulldogs are 17% (+3%)

– Panthers are 16% (+3%)

– Broncos are 15% (+4%)

– Titans are 15% (+2%)

– Warriors are 14% (+3%)

– Rabbitohs are 0.01% (-0.2%)