Back to a 50% winloss ratio, but with slightly better F/A than other teams, leaving us at a 52% chance of making the finals from here.
As requested by @old_man_tiger I have rejinked the curve to show the number of rounds remaining until the end of the regular season. For this year, there are 20 rounds (hopefully). In recent years we have had 25, but going further back we had 26.
Key numbers with 12 rounds to go:

3% chance of minor premiership (3% from last round)
– Eels are 32% (+7%)
– Panthers are 22% (+4%)
– Bulldogs are already at 0.00% (0.1%)

19% chance of finishing in top 4 (10%)
– Eels are 75% (+9%)
– Panthers are 67% (+10%)
– Storm are 55% (+7%)
– Bulldogs are 0.3% (1%)

52% chance of finishing in top 8 (10%)
– Eels are 94% (+5%)
– Panthers are 91% (+6%)
– Storm are 86% (+7%)
– Bulldogs are 5% (4%)

15% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (+4%)
– Bulldogs are 75% (+8%)
– Broncos are 59% (+8%)
– Eels are 0.5% (1%)

1% chance of wooden spoon ()
– Bulldogs are 31% (+5%)
– Broncos are 18% (+3%)
– Eels are already at 0.00% (0.1%)