@tiger5150 said in Coronavirus Outbreak:
At the risk of totally blowing up this thread, Ill throw out an interesting thought experiment purely for conversation.
Let me preface all of this by saying I am NOT anti Vax and at some stage I will probably be getting, just trying to work out (nothing to do with this discussion) when is the right time to get it.
Right now in Australia, based on our current border controls, there is no need to get vaccinated from a personal protection point of view.
Rationale behind vaccinating Australians would include protection in the case of a quarantine outbreak and of course preparation for when international travel becomes less or unrestricted. These reasons make sense and have different levels of urgency.
Trouble is the virus is still burning through populations all over the world with varying intensity. As the virus goes through a population it will naturally mutate and evolve. We are seeing the new “UK”, “SA” and “Brazilian” strains are more infectious and virulent. Im not sure that there is conclusive evidence that the current vaccines cover these (or future) strains. There is actually a train of thought amongst scientists (link below) that implementing the vaccine in the middle of this pandemic will actually encourage the evolution of more virulent strains in the same way inefficient use of antibiotics encourages bacterial “superbugs”. It is likely that the vaccine will need to be taken annually like the flu shot.
So my thought experiment is this. Should Australias implementation of the vaccine take into account the anticipated (if known) timetable for international travel? To further explain what I mean I suggest that if the international gates were to be thrown open in 3 months it would make sense for all aussies to go and get the vax now, as is, but if its going to be another 3 years, wouldnt it make sense to wait and get an up to date vax in 2.5 years time with 2.5 years of development and virus revisions?
I’m off to get the Astra Zeneca injection tomorrow. If I die from it I’ll be sure to put a post on the forum to let you know.
My rationale for getting the injection is that I don’t believe that Australia has seen the last of this scourge. As they said in that show, “Winter is coming”.
Hotel quarantine was a good first line response to the pandemic but hotels are not really adequate as a long term response. There have been a dozen or more outbreaks from hotel quarantine and there will be more.
The experience overseas indicates that the virus will spread more rapidly during the winter months and I suspect that might happen in Australia. Escape of the virus is almost a certainty, given that we have a paucity of purpose built quarantine facilities and most of the quarantine hotels are yet to adequately address aerosol flow (and may never do so).
Given my age and some underlying (not serious) health issues, I think that having the injection is a lower risk than not having it. If I was 40 years younger I might have a different view.
mate I got my astra jab through work. Made me feel rotten for about 3 days then I was fine. Headache sore joints and lethargy, then nothing.
Just an fyi from personal experience