The J(uro) Curve

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DavidDuncan
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Re: The J(uro) Curve

Post by DavidDuncan » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 10:41 am

Thanks again Juro, quick question I can't see any of the new graphs you have posted over the last couple of days. Is anyone else having this issue too?
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tigerbalm
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Post by tigerbalm » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 10:48 am

yea i cant see the graphs either.

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Juro
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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 11:34 am

Thanks for letting me know. I had to switch to a new site for loading my pictures. I used to used imgur, but this site is blocked at my work. I tried using google photos, and this worked at my end, but obviously not for you. I'll need to find a solution. Any suggestions?
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 11:38 am

Is this any better? I've played with the sharing options.

Image
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by DavidDuncan » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 12:13 pm

Juro wrote:
Fri 06 Apr, 2018 11:38 am
Is this any better? I've played with the sharing options.

Image
NO still no go.
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Post by Russell » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 12:43 pm

Very disappointing this year - not getting any graphics except a basic no entry sign.

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Juro
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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 2:04 pm

Sorry. I'll try to find another website to use.
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by DavidDuncan » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 2:07 pm

Juro wrote:
Fri 06 Apr, 2018 2:04 pm
Sorry. I'll try to find another website to use.
I've not used any of them but this might help you choose https://www.lifewire.com/free-image-hos ... es-3486329
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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 2:45 pm

While I work on the graph (can the J-curve exist without the curve?), I'll carry on with my 2017 review.

Bottom 4
The Knights were always heading in this direction all season, reaching 90% by Round 14. We put up a little bit of a fight between Rounds 5 and 8, before shadowing the Knights for the rest of the season. The Titans and Warriors both resisted until Round 20, when they were both sitting at 35%. From there, both their seasons collapsed.

Image

Teams were at their lowest chance of finishing in the bottom 4 as follows:
- Warriors: 14% (Round 16)
- Wests Tigers: 19% (1)
- Knights: 24% (2)
- Titans: 25% (season kickoff)
Last edited by Juro on Mon 09 Apr, 2018 3:00 pm, edited 2 times in total.
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:13 pm

Bottom 4 Escapes
There were only 3 other teams who looked at all likely to fall to the bottom 4 throughout the year. The Panthers were in danger after winning only 2 of their first 9 games. The Rabbitohs and Bulldogs were also in the running before winning enough games to kick clear.

Image

Teams were at their highest chance of finishing in the bottom 4 as follows:
- Rabbitohs: 67% (Round 21)
- Bulldogs: 66% (23)
- Panthers: 60% (9)
- Raiders: 39% (2)
- Sea Eagles: 39% (2)
- Eels: 38% (6)
- Sharks: 31% (1)
- Broncos: 29% (3)
- Cowboys, Dragons, Roosters and Storm: 25% (season kickoff)
Last edited by Juro on Mon 09 Apr, 2018 3:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:28 pm

Wooden Spoon
Again, it was a battle between us and the Kights for most of the the year. We were in serious danger in Round 16, when we reached 44%. The win over the Knights in Round 17 kicked us clear before picking up another few wins in later rounds.

As a sidenote, this was the second closest Wests Tigers have ever come to getting the spoon, after reaching 48% in Round 24 of 2015.

Image

Teams were at their highest chance of finishing last as follows:
- Wests Tigers: 44% (Round 16)
- Titans: 22% (7)
- Panthers: 18% (9)
- Sea Eagles: 12% (2)
- Raiders: 12% (2)
- Warriors: 12% (4)
- Bulldogs: 11% (4)
- Rabbitohs: 11% (12)
- Eels: 10% (6)
- Sharks: 8% (1)
- Broncos: 8% (3)
- Cowboys, Dragons, Roosters and Storm: 6% (season kickoff)
Last edited by Juro on Mon 09 Apr, 2018 3:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
I've been a member since 2012. We last played finals football in 2011. Just saying...

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Post by Tiger Steve » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:30 pm

DavidDuncan wrote:
Fri 06 Apr, 2018 10:41 am
Thanks again Juro, quick question I can't see any of the new graphs you have posted over the last couple of days. Is anyone else having this issue too?
Yep - could see the first couple, now just the word ‘image’
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Post by Tiger Steve » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:32 pm

Juro wrote:
Fri 06 Apr, 2018 11:38 am
Is this any better? I've played with the sharing options.

Image
I’m all good now. Thanks!
“Peanuts! Get ya peanuts - in the shell or sugar coated!” Leichhardt memories.

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Post by Geo. » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:48 pm

They were for me but now they are not... :cry: :cry:
Wayne Train 2019..

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Post by Juro » Fri 06 Apr, 2018 3:49 pm

And so 2017 is wrapped up, other than figuring out how to post the graphs... It was a hard season as a fan, with very little to cheer about. Amazing then to see us start so positive in 2018. I just pray that we are not going to replicate the Dragons' performance from last year.

Image

Key results after 4 rounds (not counting last night's win for the Raiders):
- 10% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 21%, Warriors are 19%, Eels are 1%)
- 37% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 56%, Warriors are 54%, Eels are 5%)
- 66% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons are 82%, Warriors are 80%, Eels are 18%)
- 13% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 57%, Raiders are 52%, Dragons are 5%)
- 2% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 22%, Raiders are 18%, Dragons are 1%)

At 66% chance of making the finals, this is our 3rd best start to the season (3 rounds) out of all our 19 years. The only better starts were in 2010 (66%) and 2002 (69% when there were only 14 teams). We were 3-1 in both those seasons too.
Last edited by Juro on Mon 09 Apr, 2018 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by coolcat » Sat 07 Apr, 2018 5:15 pm

Now i have to wait all week to see the first j curve of the year. Need to see the curve

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Post by Russell » Sat 07 Apr, 2018 5:19 pm

Still no good for me Juro.

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Post by happy tiger » Sat 07 Apr, 2018 5:20 pm

Juro wrote:
Fri 06 Apr, 2018 9:00 am
TOP 8
Now looking at the teams to miss the finals, again there isn't a lot to talk about. Most teams that missed the 8 never looked likely. The Knights had reached 10% by Round 8 before reaching 100% in Round 18. And, sad to say but Wests Tigers were the second team to reach 10% and stay there, doing this in Round 11.

The only real standout on the graph was the Dragons, who reached as high as 88% after Round 7 and only fell below 50% in Rounds 22, 24, 25 and 26. That must have hurt...

Image

Teams were at their highest as follows:
- Dragons: 88% (Round 7)
- Raiders: 64% (7)
- Rabbitohs: 58% (3)
- Wests Tigers: 58% (1)
- Bulldogs: 58% (7)
- Warriors: 57% (1)
- Knights: 51% (3)
- Titans: 50% (season kickoff)
When you type in the figures does your computer ask you "are you absolutely sure these figures true and correct ?? "

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