In a nation of 24 million in Australia, there isn’t 272 elite rugby league players.
When you think of it, it should be gun players all round, its not that many players…
Well, you gotta put some thought into this.
Population of Australia is 24 million. But rugby league really has minimal reach anywhere but QLD, NSW and ACT (7.5 + 4.7 + 0.4) = 12.6 million. Of those 12.6 million, half are women and 68% are 25 years or older (if you aren't playing NRL by the age of 25 you probably aren't going to have a career in it).
That leaves 2 million kids you could reach to become elite rugby league footballers. In 2008 NRL claimed junior rugby league participation of 269,377 kids Australia-wide, in all schools-level competition. NRL also claims a national player base of over 1M people, but this now includes touch football.
So of 2 million kids we know about 10% participate in rugby league at some kind of school level, but not necessarily weekend sport (could be knock-out type comps). Compare this with soccer, where 50% of kids actively involved in sport play the round-ball game (30% basketball and 25% cricket); according to Australian Sports Camps.
So you have about 250K kids playing footy, of which about half can be expected to also play soccer and a quarter also play cricket.
So perhaps 100-125K kids focused on rugby league.
Now of those, how many can reasonably be expected to have the talent to play any kind of club footy, let alone NRL? 5%? Down to 5K kids who might get selected in rep/club teams, and of those we know about 5% go on to make it in the NRL, so 5% of 5,000 = 250.
There's your number.
If we were talking a truly national game, you could expect to have around double the elite players, so either twice as many teams, or twice as much competition for the same number of teams.
But 24M people playing league, union, soccer, cricket, basketball, AFL, swimming, gymnastics, athletics, netball, cycling, surfing etc. etc. we just don't have the cattle.
There are 1.32B Indians to choose from in cricket and their teams are no better than ours. There are 1.37B Chinese and they can't even make the football world cup.