Detailed statistical analysis Tigers 2026 first 7 rounds

[jirskyr]

Don’t let one loss sour the celebration of the Tigers' improvement - The Rugby League Eye Test

I get it. The Wests Tigers lost a heartbreaking match to the defending premiers. They’ll never face Brisbane with a more favourable set of events. A home game on a Saturday night at a packed Campbelltown Sports Stadium. The visitors had multiple players missing, Payne Hass injured his knee...

www.rugbyleagueeyetest.com

Not mine, all credit to RL Eye Test. If you value significant data analysis in footy, subscribe to his newsletter.

 

[TIGERS]

Don’t let one loss sour the celebration of the Tigers' improvement - The Rugby League Eye Test

I get it. The Wests Tigers lost a heartbreaking match to the defending premiers. They’ll never face Brisbane with a more favourable set of events. A home game on a Saturday night at a packed Campbelltown Sports Stadium. The visitors had multiple players missing, Payne Hass injured his knee...

www.rugbyleagueeyetest.com

Not mine, all credit to RL Eye Test. If you value significant data analysis in footy, subscribe to his newsletter.

He's ok @jirskyr but it's still pretty dodgy math. It's a bit like reading (good) fan fiction. He's had a very decent crack at modelling the game similar to xG in soccer. I appreciate that he looks at what data he can get his hands on in a fairly thoughtful way. It's not just counting everything and saying that big number good - small number bad etc. But at the same time he's got his paypal link everywhere and talks about 'artisan small batch' data. Stats and probability aint Beer.

I wouldn't bother comparing stats from 2016 when the game had different rules, 2 refs, and different players. Tries come from sequences. Not a shot like football does. Rugby league is such an intangibly brilliantly, human game and that's why Wayne Bennett is still the goat. There's no data for getting absolutely belted in a tackle. Stats are super important game by game... and per season, but reducing things to neat predictive models in our code like Baseball or Tennis, just cannot be done.