SMH - Race for Semi Finals - 2011

Spartan117

Moderator
Staff member
Forum Leader
**<big>Warriors and Tigers charge into top four calculations</big>
Greg Prichard
August 15, 2011\
\
http://www.smh.com.au/rugby-league/league-news/warriors-and-tigers-charge-into-top-four-calculations-20110814-1it32.html**

**The stage is set for either the Warriors or Wests Tigers to burst into the top four next weekend.**
Late-season stumbling by fourth-placed North Queensland (two losses in a row) and fifth-placed St George Illawarra (four straight losses) have given the fast-finishing Warriors (five wins from their past six games) and Tigers (five straight wins) an enormous amount to play for over the final three rounds.

Before the weekend's round began, the Warriors were sixth and the Tigers eighth, both four points behind the Cowboys and three behind the Dragons. A realistic ambition at that stage looked to be to try to finish as high as possible in the bottom half of the top eight. But all that has changed.

As a result of the Cowboys losing to the Broncos, the struggling Sydney Roosters registering the biggest upset of the season by knocking over the Dragons, and the Warriors and Tigers beating Newcastle and Penrith respectively, it is game on for the last available spot in the top four and the opportunity to launch a finals campaign with a home game in the first week.

The Warriors and Tigers, sixth and seventh respectively, are just two points behind the Cowboys and one behind the Dragons, and will be watching with enormous interest on Friday night when the Cowboys are away to a surging South Sydney, and the Dragons are away to a competition-leading Melbourne side that has won 11 games in a row.

If the Cowboys and Dragons lose and the Warriors beat struggling Penrith at Centrebet Stadium on Saturday night, the Warriors will jump to fourth. If the Cowboys, Dragons and Warriors all lose, and the Tigers beat Parramatta at the SFS on Sunday and there is enough of a turnaround between them and the Cowboys in the points differential, they will be fourth.

The Tigers are the team that have the bookmakers worried. They were being kept safe in the betting already before this round, at $7.50 to win the premiership with TAB Sportsbet, but after weekend results they have firmed to $6\. The Storm remain favourites at $3.25, followed by Manly at $5\. The Broncos and Dragons are also at $6\. There is then a big gap to the Warriors, at $13, and the Cowboys, at $17.

TAB Sportsbet media manager Glenn Munsie said last night: ''It's because the Tigers have the X-factor. Everyone knows that with a player like Benji Marshall in their side they have the ability to turn it on at any given time. **There is a great opportunity for both the Tigers and Warriors to make a run at the top four**, the way next weekend's games look. Melbourne, even without Cooper Cronk, will still start favourites over the Dragons, and I wouldn't be surprised if South Sydney start favourites over the Cowboys, even though the Rabbitohs are ninth and the Cowboys fourth.''

Munsie said Melbourne had eased slightly, from $3, mainly because of the foot injury sustained by star halfback Cronk in their win over Gold Coast on Saturday. He is likely to miss two games.
Canterbury will try to stay in the finals race when they play Cronulla at Toyota Stadium tonight. A win would keep them in 10th place, but only two points behind eighth-placed Newcastle. Ninth-placed Souths stayed alive by belting Canberra yesterday.
 
**<big>Finish line in sight but finals position will be decided by just three clubs</big>
Brad Walter
August 17, 2011\
\
http://www.smh.com.au/rugby-league/league-news/finish-line-in-sight-but-finals-position-will-be-decided-by-just-three-clubs-20110816-1iwfm.html**

THE top eight, top four and minor premiership are in the hands of Newcastle, the Warriors and Melbourne.
While 10 teams are vying for the eight finals berths, the three clubs control not only their own destiny but that of rivals around them on the premiership ladder due to the draw for the last three rounds.

Win, and the eighth-placed Knights remain ahead of South Sydney and Canterbury, but lose and one of those teams will replace them in the finals.
\
\
The Warriors and the Storm are in a similar position in their respective battles for a top-four berth and the minor premiership.

In effect, the identity of the teams in the play-offs and the order they qualify will be determined by a number of key matches - most of which feature those three clubs.

What seems clear after 23 rounds is that:
- Melbourne, Manly and Brisbane will be in the top four and host home finals;
- North Queensland, St George Illawarra, the Warriors and Wests Tigers have also secured finals berths;
- Either Newcastle, South Sydney or the Bulldogs will finish eighth; and
- the minor premiership is a two-horse race between the Storm and Sea Eagles.

With those two clubs due to meet next week at Brookvale Oval, the winner of the J. J. Giltinan Shield and $100,000 prizemoney may be decided then - depending on if the Dragons beat Melbourne on Friday night.

A Dragons loss would see the 2010 premiers slip to seventh if the Warriors and Tigers win this weekend.
Should the Rabbitohs beat North Queensland on Friday night, the Warriors could then take fourth place and with the Auckland-based side's final two games against the Dragons and the Cowboys, they are masters of their own destiny.

Lose, and one of those clubs - or the Tigers, who do not play any of the other nine teams in contention for the finals, could usurp them.

The Knights are in the same position in the battle for eighth place, and their fate may not be decided until the last round match against Souths at Ausgrid Stadium.

Newcastle also play Brisbane next Monday, while the Rabbitohs meet the Broncos the following weekend.

Brisbane's last match, which will be a farewell for record-breaking captain Darren Lockyer, is against Manly and may decide which of the two clubs finishes second and third.

The Dragons, Warriors and Cowboys all received a boost yesterday with injured stars Mark Gasnier (hip), Lance Hohaia (knee) and Aaron Payne (face) all named to return for their respective clubs this weekend.
However, the Warriors have lost forward Ukuma Ta'ai to suspension on a striking charge - although he will join Canterbury second-rower Frank Pritchard at the judiciary tonight to contest the severity of the grade-two charge in a bid to play next weekend against the Dragons.

Pritchard faces a one-match ban, ruling him out of Sunday's clash with Manly, unless he can beat a grade-three careless high tackle charge.

In other news, England star Gareth Widdop will deputise for injured Storm halfback Cooper Cronk in Friday night's clash with the Dragons in Melbourne.

Cronk is sidelined for up to a fortnight with a foot injury, while the competition leaders have also lost winger Justin O'Neill for the season with a knee injury. Widdop's shift to halfback has caused a reshuffle of the back line, with Maurice Blair moving to five-eighth and Beau Champion called up to the centres. However, neither Blair (shoulder) or Dane Nielsen (ankle) are certain to play.

There are still doubts over Dragons five-eighth Jamie Soward.
 

Latest posts

Members online

Back
Top