Chicken_Faced_Killa
Well-known member
Having a quick scan of our remaining draw I can see the potential for the zig zagging to continue. The top end of the comp is tight this year so I imagine a lot of teams have a similar curve.
The J(uro) Curve
- Thread starter Juro
- Start date
@ said:
Man,
I love your work.
Thanks heaps
upthetigers
Well-known member
It doesn't feel like 59% but maybe the recent performances have something to do with it. It feels more like 39% our attack is pathetic.
Juro
Well-known member
@ said:
Our attack has been pathetic for most of the season. If our defence can keep us in the game, we are always a chance of winning. Some games it will come off, others it won't. On Sunday it didn't…
upthetigers
Well-known member
@ said:
Very true but watching us play takes years from your life.
Btw I love your work!
Juro
Well-known member
@ said:
Yes, despite so much changing at the club this year, there is always the heart attack at the end of every game…
Juro
Well-known member
Apologies for the delay in posting this week. With the long weekend and other commitments, it's taken a bit longer to get around to it. Also, it is not quite so much fun after a loss…
After 14 rounds, we are sitting on 7 wins and 7 losses, with a F/A of +1\. Despite this, we are outside the top 8 (partially due to the effect of byes), and are now less than 50% chance of making the finals. Yes, we have hit 49%.
Key numbers after 14 rounds:
- 0.5% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 28%, Panthers are 26%, Sea Eagles and Titans join 3 teams on 0.00%)
- 8% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 75%, Panthers are 74%, Eels are 0.00%)
- 49% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Panthers are 98%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 8% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 84%, Bulldogs are 70%, Panthers are 0.03%)
- 0.2% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 37%, Bulldogs are 21%, Roosters, Sharks and Warriors join 3 teams on 0.00%)
After 14 rounds, we are sitting on 7 wins and 7 losses, with a F/A of +1\. Despite this, we are outside the top 8 (partially due to the effect of byes), and are now less than 50% chance of making the finals. Yes, we have hit 49%.
Key numbers after 14 rounds:
- 0.5% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 28%, Panthers are 26%, Sea Eagles and Titans join 3 teams on 0.00%)
- 8% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 75%, Panthers are 74%, Eels are 0.00%)
- 49% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Panthers are 98%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 8% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 84%, Bulldogs are 70%, Panthers are 0.03%)
- 0.2% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 37%, Bulldogs are 21%, Roosters, Sharks and Warriors join 3 teams on 0.00%)
Fade_To_Black
New member
Thanks again for your efforts Juro. Like you say the byes for a few teams so far this season has impacted the ladder, the Broncos are only keeping us out of the 8 at this point due to them having had a bye already- pretty sure our F/A is better than theirs.
mike
Well-known member
@ said:
Us losing is what is keeping us out of the 8.
old_man_tiger
Well-known member
The bye can't be interpreted like that. If the Broncos win in rd 17 then the bye is irrelevant as they remain 2 points above us (ignoring the results of the next 2 weeks of course)
T
Tarl
Guest
@ said:
Except that no competition points are given for byes this year, so Broncos are legitimately one win ahead of us.
sheer64
Well-known member
That curve is going down quicker than a glass of scotch at an AA meeting!
T
Tarl
Guest
@ said:
Fair enough. Just checked the ladder and that looks correct. Although I could have sworn that they said they weren't rewarding points for byes this year. Oh well.
At least that means we have 2 free competition points owed to us.
All teams get 2 points for 1 BYE this year no points for the 2nd BYE as in previous years as all NRL teams don't play rep weekend..so effectively there is only 1 BYE and 25 Rounds instead of 26..
Fade_To_Black
New member
@ said:
:roll Nice one!
We Tigers fans should know that better than most.
Q: "And what made you start drinking excessively in the first place?"
A: "Took up supporting the Tigers mate".
They give us a heart attack every week that is for sure.
happy_tiger
Well-known member
@ said:
Juro curve is very used to that Tiger :laughing:
Juro
Well-known member
@ said:
I've only just managed to crawl out from under the bed after Sunday's nightmare. The curve will be updated by Friday. Seems a bit superfluous though, since you already know what it will look like…
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