Even with the players that have signed elsewhere leaving, if the Tigers can actually bring in Blair & say, Reddy/Cross or Vidot as has been rumoured, I can't see why 2012 is a "Write Off" year.
The fullback position, for me, is the one area that still has a lot of question marks- but potentially you could have Brown, Lote, Lawrence, Reddy or even Beau Ryan (if he doesn't leave) all with 1st grade experience in the mix for the position, along with the youngsters coming through. Getting the right player in the #1 is important though.
Have not seen anywhere other than here that Lui is leaving, so I'm assuming he'll be the #7 next season- probably with a view to Miller pushing him through the course of next season. I actually wonder if removing Moltzen might improve Lui's confidence & allow him to play more his own game.
The back row could potentially lose Heighington & even Dwyer, depending on the severity of his injury. But adding Blair, keeping Fulton & having Murdoch-Masilla & the Shirnack's still leaves the Tigers back row in good shape. If Heighington stays, having him at lock, Blair & Ellis is an outstanding (if costly) back row. But I'll be happy with Ellis at lock, Blair & Dwyer- that's a really good bunch of players there.
Prop is the position we'll really require the youth to step up- with only Galloway being a tried & tested option. Woods looks the most likely to fill the other starting role, and Groat & Begovich are no doubt lined up to compete & fill the bench roles. Again, there is no confirmation outside of this forum to indicate this player is leaving, so I'm going to assume that Moors is still in the running for a bench spot.
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In the end, if the team looks vaguely like this-
1\. Lawrence
2\. Lote
3\. Reddy
4\. Ayshford
5\. Vidot
6\. Marshall
7\. Lui
13\. Ellis
12\. Dwyer
11\. Blair
10\. Galloway
9\. Farah
8\. Woods
I can't see how that isn't a competitive side. You still have Fulton, the Shirnack's, Groat, Begovich, Simona, Utai, and the other youngsters to add into the mix.