I think your take is being unfairly seen as negative.
In general, I think you are not complaining about the team, but cautious to call any positives too early because frankly, we haven't even played a trial.
Personally, I think the team has upside on paper, but that's all it is at the moment.
The road to wins encompasses many factors and we haven't seen whether that will eventuate. To me, top 8 is not out of the question, but neither is the spoon. We really have a lot of players with a big gap between their best and worst performances, so that in itself poses questions as to our ability to get wins this year.
A bit like you, I'm more optimistic than in previous years, but it's based on a lot of 'ifs' and if I'm being realistic, that hasn't been a recipe for success for any team in the modern era.
For all that's being said, I think Richo is probably our strongest asset this year. If we can jag 2 really good signings for next year to add to Luai, then 2025 might be where things start to turn on the field.