shiretiger
Well-known member
http://www.nrl.com/stats-insider-why-the-top-eight-order-matters/tabid/10874/newsid/64544/default.aspx
Since the McIntyre System was introduced in 1999 every single grand final winner started the finals in the top four.
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But it hasn’t been all rosy for minor premiers. They have only won the major title four times (33 per cent); team two has held the premiership trophy aloft just twice (17 per cent) while teams three and four have each won the title three times (25 per cent). It appears finishing in the top two hasn’t turned out to be the blessing it is supposed to be.
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(As a small sidenote, the team finishing third in the minor premiership has a three-from-three record and the team running fourth has a two-from-two record when they have made the grand final – so they tend to make it and win it, or not make it at all. Team two has been runner up on three occasions.)
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In terms of finals series streaks (this is discounting whatever winning streak a side may have been on entering the finals) on nine of 12 occasions the team that hoisted the trophy went through the finals without a loss, meaning only three teams have successfully recovered from an opening week playoff loss to win the premiership.
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Here is the breakdown of all teams’ results in Week One.
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Team One: 10 wins, 2 losses (83 per cent win ratio)
Team Two: 7 wins, 5 losses (58 per cent win ratio)
Team Three: 5 wins, 7 losses (42 per cent win ratio)
Team Four: 8 wins, 4 losses (67 per cent win ratio)
Team Five: 4 wins, 8 losses (33 per cent win ratio)
Team Six: 7 wins, 5 losses (58 per cent win ratio)
Team Seven: 5 wins, 7 losses (42 per cent win ratio)
Team Eight: 2 wins, 10 Losses (17 per cent win ratio)
Since the McIntyre System was introduced in 1999 every single grand final winner started the finals in the top four.
\
But it hasn’t been all rosy for minor premiers. They have only won the major title four times (33 per cent); team two has held the premiership trophy aloft just twice (17 per cent) while teams three and four have each won the title three times (25 per cent). It appears finishing in the top two hasn’t turned out to be the blessing it is supposed to be.
\
(As a small sidenote, the team finishing third in the minor premiership has a three-from-three record and the team running fourth has a two-from-two record when they have made the grand final – so they tend to make it and win it, or not make it at all. Team two has been runner up on three occasions.)
\
In terms of finals series streaks (this is discounting whatever winning streak a side may have been on entering the finals) on nine of 12 occasions the team that hoisted the trophy went through the finals without a loss, meaning only three teams have successfully recovered from an opening week playoff loss to win the premiership.
\
Here is the breakdown of all teams’ results in Week One.
>
Team One: 10 wins, 2 losses (83 per cent win ratio)
Team Two: 7 wins, 5 losses (58 per cent win ratio)
Team Three: 5 wins, 7 losses (42 per cent win ratio)
Team Four: 8 wins, 4 losses (67 per cent win ratio)
Team Five: 4 wins, 8 losses (33 per cent win ratio)
Team Six: 7 wins, 5 losses (58 per cent win ratio)
Team Seven: 5 wins, 7 losses (42 per cent win ratio)
Team Eight: 2 wins, 10 Losses (17 per cent win ratio)