@swooping-magpie said in [Madge Maguire \- Mega Thread](/post/1476209) said:
It has been said here that Ciraldo has overseen the best defensive team in the NRL but nobody knows how he would go with inferior players. As an example, look at the Penrith Parramatta final and you wouldn't see better defence than either side put up. Now, look at the assistants at those clubs and Ciraldo did really well but Parra had David Kidwell, who was a past defence coach at the Tigers and he did equally well in that game.
BUT Kidwell was a disaster as defence coach at the Wests Tigers. My point is that any reasonable coach can do well if he has a quality roster and it is the roster that needs improving under any future or present coach before we will have any success.
Yeah very good point.
Signing Ciraldo would be an enormous risk.
Every option is a large risk.
True but the green coaches are an unacceptable risk
Believe me I have thought that for a long time.
Taking on a Ciraldo or ESL coach is a risk because their experience in NRL as a head coach, with this squad is completely unknown.
Retaining Madge is a huge risk because his experience as a head coach of the Wests Tigers, with this squad is completely known.
One risk is unknown, the other is known. Past performance is the best indicator of future performances. Which do you hitch your wagon to?
That is not how risk assessment works.
Mate, Im not going to engage with you but I do risk assessment every day for a living. 100% risk assessment in based on known risks, not imagined risks.
I do them as well, and you are right
Sorry but risk assessment conducted on stuff that is already known is half arsed. I say this because a known known - in other words facts, (in this case, the historical tenure and future educated predictions related to Madges coaching), can be managed and are not fundamentally risks. Other factors must be considered relating to uncertainty of impacts and consequences, (in this case, a rookie coach) which is what supplies your classic risk. Mitigation strategies can be formed through investigative research, benchmarking etc but the probabilities of failure are certainly higher.