Racing tips, talk etc

[Jedi_Tiger]

Sunline and Makybe Diva two of the best mares i have ever seen.
RIP

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

A good market that is set at present is this by election for the federal seat of Farrer due 30 march
independent $2
Nationals $3.25
one nation $3.75
Liberal $6

Based on that market and where preferences might flow, Nationals at $3.25 represent some value.
Libs would preference them
Independent has said will not preference one nation
Also taking a punt on one nation polling not necessarily reflecting on voting day aka xenephon factor in s.a.

Some value for Nationals at $3.25 before election is called, expect it to tighten up

reviewing the Farrer bye election now that it has been called for May 9
Independent $1.45
One Nation $3

upon review dont think liberals or nationals can win.

I believe the bookies have this market completely wrong.

what are the chances the liberals and nationals actually preference the "Independent" climate 200 Tiffany teal over One Nation.
Push comes to shove libs and nats will announce they will preference Ine Nation at that point the value drops out of the market and One Nation would come tumbling in to $1.90

$3 is good value for One Nation