Racing tips, talk etc

[tiger_one]

 

[innsaneink]

Anyone else get on joel caines tip in the last at the farm yesterday?
Fuadee 40/1
Had it e/w and just missed a place multi with it in the previous at 30/1

 

[Cultured_Bogan]

Here's my tip: the fastest horse will win.

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

Anyone else get on joel caines tip in the last at the farm yesterday?
Fuadee 40/1
Had it e/w and just missed a place multi with it in the previous at 30/1

richard callander tipped it too on sky

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

cox plate
I like Birdman
Sir Delius (if it runs)

caulfied cup
zarahnn

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

the way this negative talk about Ka Ying Rising re the track gallop and the potential weather, the bookies might blow the price out a bit if we are lucky.

If the rain absolutely tumbled down I think Tempted could go close but it would have to be an absolute bog.

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

Caulfield Race 7
Birdman at $3.70
pretty keen

 

[innsaneink]

Doubt the price blows
Trial tack was soft and grass was.long

 

[Halbrowne61]

the way this negative talk about Ka Ying Rising re the track gallop and the potential weather, the bookies might blow the price out a bit if we are lucky.

If the rain absolutely tumbled down I think Tempted could go close but it would have to be an absolute bog.

Yes, I can see maybe $1.50 JT 🤣🤣🤣

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

Yes, I can see maybe $1.50 JT 🤣🤣🤣

$1.50 about last years winner is good value to put in the multis better than $1.30

 

[Halbrowne61]

$1.50 about last years winner is good value to put in the multis better than $1.30

I was talking tongue in cheek, if it’s dry it will stay around $1.30. If it’s wet will be a different story !

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

I was talking tongue in cheek, if it’s dry it will stay around $1.30. If it’s wet will be a different story !

if its wet i think tempted firm's $6 to $4.80 something like that

 

[tiger_one]

Great to see legendary broadcasters Ian Craig and John Tapp on hand to present the trophy for the $500,000 Tapp-Craig at Rosehill, won by Chuchichaschtli.

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

Birdman run was not too bad yesterday, think if Sir Delius runs it probably.wins, I just dont want to take 3.60 futures all in in case it goes for a spell

 

[Halbrowne61]

Great to see legendary broadcasters Ian Craig and John Tapp on hand to present the trophy for the $500,000 Tapp-Craig at Rosehill, won by Chuchichaschtli.


View attachment 45084

Two great broadcasters, and good blokes.

 

[Jedi_Tiger]

Worth noting with the world pools on the tote
The world Pool is framing markets at roughly 123 % the fixed odds around 115% give or take from what i can work out.

The value might fall out of the big spring carnival exotic bets if they continue to frame markets at 123% punters will be taking unders.

Sports betting is a different percentage if we take nrl typically they frame head to head markets at around 105% and a typical bookmaker margin of 5.45%

if we take nrl as the example the rough opening price market for premiership winner is around 125% (so the tab looks for a 25% margin)

For top 8 generally it is framed at around 120% (again bookies are looking at around a 20% margin)