I was thinking the same thing yesterday.
Going into the match it was definitely a danger game, as Dogs were trying to put their season back on track and Pay had obviously made a number of changes - which either encourages or discourages players, you can't really pick it.
Tigers were average and did not respect possession enough - Dogs scored basically off 4 bad plays and I think we gave them about 12 bad mistakes to chew on. E.g. Brooks poor offload x 2, Fonua STUPID offload x 1, Mikaele failing to trail on the inside.
Dogs respected their possession and hung in the game, played tougher and with more energy. Kieran Foran is busted but when he's near the line he surges with all possible energy, whereas the Tigers players spent most of the game just cruising around.
Obv losing Garner and Fonua early hurt, the reshuffle appeared to tire a number of players and the bench was basically blunted - Mikaele, Aloiai, MCK all struggled with the task in front of them. MCK in particular, he will play good minutes but his speed in attack and defence is poor - he'll just plod up and back making his tackles and hitups, but it doesn't threaten the opposition. But also, he's only had 10 minutes in the prior 2 matches.
I still think Tigers were clearly the better quality side, they just didn't play adequately to convert that quality. Second half was 8-4, which bar the 13 minutes before HT I felt was fairly indicative of how the match was going.
Anyone who says Dogs were all over us or totally outplayed us wasn't paying attention for the full 80 mins, because we had them covered for 60 of the 80 minutes.
But as Geo says, you can't afford to drop a terrible 20 mins in a game and still come out on top. Watch Melbourne Storm and see a team that knows how to stay in a match for 80 mins.
Last thing I'll say is that the refs are not policing the wrestle in 2019 and Dogs REALLY pushed the boundaries on that all match - tonnes of lying in the ruck and hands on football. Even the play where Marsters was called for bad PTB but Rhyse Martin was literally lying in the ruck, which he cannot do, even if the PTB was poor, it is influenced by a man lying next to the ruck and making no attempt to roll away. We did not control the ruck as effectively as Dogs did.
All the same, 2 wins 1 loss out of every 3 games will be enough to play finals. It's the same old story with Tigers every year - the capability is there, it just needs to be produced consistently over a full season.