I think forwards are as important as ever. As you say their main purpose is defence. That defence then forces long kicks which allows the wingers and fullbacks easy carries. To'o may be the best in the game at what he does, but even he goes nowhere on the odd occasion an opposition team managers to pin the Panthers in the corner.A couple of things
If the To'o info is accurate ( thanks for the info anyway Odessa) he wont be saying anything until the finals are done.
Added to that I actually am starting to believe forwards arent as important as they used to be. The good teams generate most of their yardage from their back 5. the main purpose of the forwards is defence and compressing defensive lines to create space.
The top 30ish in runs per game and meters per game are mainly backs.
I personally think that's where your money needs to be heavily invested. A back 5 of bula, turuva, skelton too and other centre is pretty dynamic.
Case in point, everyone (with the possible exception of Staines) that has played in the back 3 for Penrith the last 4 years has made huge running metres. That list includes Daine Laurie regularly running 250m+ at fullback, Caleb Aikens topping 300m in a game at fullback as well as May and Turuva on the wing in their rookie years.
Instead of comparing running metres of the top props and top wingers and their correlation with success. I'd like to see the correlation of average set distance conceded, average metres gained from back 3 and success.Some interesting stats around run metres for wingers as opposed to props and how it translates to winning
Top 5 Wingers for Metres 2024:
Jacob Kiraz (Bulldogs) - Finals
Brian To’o (Panthers) - Finals
Greg Marzhew (Knights) - Finals
Kyle Feldt (Cowboys) - Finals
Daniel Tupou (Roosters) - Finals
Top 5 Props for Metres 2024:
Addin Fonua-Blake (Warriors) - Missed Finals
Joseph Tapine (Raiders) - Missed Finals
Mitchell Barnett (Warriors) - Missed Finals
Jack De Belin (Dragons) - Missed Finals
Corey Jensen/RCG (Broncos/Eels) - both missed finals
Of course there is the reverse argument that the forwards can only defend as well as they do as they are fresher due to the yardage work of the backs. It is kind of chicken and egg. I think it shows you need strength across the park and can't rely on just good backs or just good forwards.