@strongee said in [Signing Suggestions & Rumours](/post/1317520) said:
Nothing lasts forever man . Look at the Raiders , they were basically us before we became the 9th placed team . They’d always finish 8th-9th , and do nothing . Basically in football purgatory , which is where we are now . None of the players they signed to get themselves out would have been stars at the time , and that was just after a period of losing the stars they did groom. Sound familiar ? I think the talent is in the squad .
I agree, there's a lot of perspective to be gained looking at some of the ascendant teams of 2021 and how they got there.
Raiders are a good example - before they made the GF in 2019 they made the finals only once in 6 seasons. Prior to this (2010 and earlier) they yo-yo'd in and out of the Top 8, always around the bottom. Since 2001 - 11th, 8th, 4th, 8th, 14th, 7th, 14th, 6th, 13th, 7th. They were almost a mirror image of the Tigers, except they were managing 7th or 8th instead of 9th during their better seasons.
Sticky took over and they went 15th, 10th, 2nd, 10th, 10th, 4th (GF), 5th. What's interesting there is two-fold:
(1) Stuart was on the nose when he joined Raiders - 15th and 14th in his last two years at Cronulla, followed by the wooden spoon during 2013 with Parramatta.
(2) Stuart has had two runs at finals football with the Raiders, and has done similar things in the past with Cronulla and Roosters. Clearly he has the ability to get a side to the finals, but depending on circumstances, he can't keep it going for long stretches. Very Tim Sheens-like.
Your other example, Penrith: between 2005 and 2013 (9 seasons) they only made the finals once. Since then they've only missed it twice. They sacked their 2015 coach after he missed the finals 3/4 years, put in a bloke who got them to the finals 3 years straight, then sacked him to get back the bloke they had in 2015. He's since gone 10th and Minor Prems, with an average run at Wests Tigers in-between. Obviously Cleary can coach as well, but can't keep his sides in the top flight for more than a year or two at a time.
Parramatta are the most interesting given how bad a side they were for much of 2010s. In the 11 seasons since 2008, they made the finals twice (including 1 GF), got 3 wooden spoons. 5 coaches during that period. Brad Arthur was overlooked for Ricky Stuart in 2016, then ran 10th, 12th and 14th his first 3 seasons. Made the finals 3 of last 4, but another wooden spoon.
Thing about Tigers is there would be a different narrative if one or two of those 9ths were jagged into 7ths or 8ths. We've never done that, never snuck into the finals and got annihilated week one. But then folks look back and see that Canberra had a few 8ths when we had 9ths, but Canberra are judged less harshly over a long period as a non-competitive team.
Similarly Ivan Cleary, Rick Stuart and Brad Arthur have all managed to get their teams into the finals, including Grand Finals for two of them, and yet all 3 of these coaches have a losing record with their current clubs - more seasons out of finals than in the finals.
So as context exactly how long does Madge get to turn the Tigers around? Given he's proven he can coach a team to the top and Tigers have not had successful periods any time near before he arrived.