The J(uro) Curve

[Juro]

We had a bye week (YAY!!!) but that doesn't mean the numbers don't change. Results from other games largely went our way in aiming to avoid the bottom 4, except for the Dragons winning.
We are now at 68% chance of finishing in the bottom 4. This week our comparible seasons were 2001 (63%), 2003 (69%), 2006 (70%) and 2015 (79%). The good news is that we managed to avoid the bottom 4 in 2006, so that gives us a little hope.




Key numbers are:
* 0.00% of minor premiership
- Panthers are 55% (-18%)
- Roosters are 32% (+16%)
- Warriors are 12% (+4%)
- Sharks are 1% (-3%)
- Dolphins are 0.7% (+0.6%)
- Knights are 0.01% (+0.01%)
- All other teams have now reached 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 4
- Panthers are 99.2% (-0.4%)
- Roosters are 95% (+5%)
- Warriors are 90% (+7%)
- Sharks are 58% (-22%)
- Dolphins are 38% (+9%)
- Sea Eagles are the 8th teams to reach 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 8
- Warriors are the 3rd team to reach 100% (+0.1%)
- Warriors are 99.9% (+0.9%)
- Sharks are 99.97% (+0.07%)
- Dolphins are 99.8% (+2.8%)
- Knights are 99% (+5%)
- Cowboys are 81% (+23%)
- Rabbitohs are 78% (+17%)
- Bulldogs are 27% (-21%)
- Sea Eagles are 12% (-20%)
- Storm are 2% (-)
- Raiders are 1% (-8%)
- Eels and Broncos are the 4th and 5th teams to reach 0.00%

* 68% of finishing in bottom 4 (-8%)
- Dragons are already at 100%
- Broncos are 84% (+7%)
- Titans are 82% (+9%)
- Eels are 60% (+7%)
- Raiders are 4% (-)
- Cowboys and Rabbitohs are the 7th and 8th teams to reach 0.00%

* 0.6% of wooden spoon (+0.4%)
- Dragons are 96% (-3%)
- Broncos are 2% (+1.4%)
- Titans are 0.9% (+0.6%)
- Eels are 0.5% (+0.3%)
- all other teams have now reached 0.00%

 

[Juro]

We are now at 80% chance of finishing in the bottom 4. This week our comparible seasons were 2001 (93%), 2003 (93%), 2015 (92%) and 2021 (62%).



Key numbers are:
* 0.00% of minor premiership
- Roosters are 50% (+18%)
- Panthers are 25% (-30%)
- Warriors are 23% (+11%)
- Dolphins are 2% (+1.3%)
- Sharks are 0.05% (-0.95%)
- Knights are 0.02% (+0.01%)
- All other teams have now reached 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 4
- Roosters are 99% (+4%)
- Panthers are 98% (-1.2%)
- Warriors are 96% (+6%)
- Dolphins are 57% (+19%)
- Sharks are 27% (-31%)
- Knights are 21% (+5%)
- Rabbitohs are 2% (-)
- Cowboys are the 9th team to reach 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 8
- Sharks, Dolphins and Knights are the 4th, 5th and 6th teams to reach 100%
- Rabbitohs are 97% (+19%)
- Cowboys are 75% (-6%)
- Bulldogs are 14% (-13%)
- Raiders are 7% (+6%)
- Sea Eagles are 4% (-8%)
- Storm are 3% (+1)
- All other teams have now reached 0.00%

* 80% of finishing in bottom 4 (+12%)
- Dragons are already at 100%
- Broncos are 95% (+11%)
- Titans are 93% (+11%)
- Eels are 31% (-29%)
- Storm are 0.8% (-1.2%)
- Sea Eagles are 0.6% (-0.1%)
- Bulldogs are 0.04% (-0.06%)
- Raiders are the 9th team to reach 0.00%

* 1% of wooden spoon (+0.4%)
- Dragons are 91% (-5%)
- Broncos are 6% (+4%)
- Titans are 2% (+1.1%)
- Eels are the 12th team to reach 0.00%

 

[Juro]

Not even the J Curve saw that win coming! But it does give us an outside chance of climbing out of the bottom 4.

We are now at 62% chance of finishing in the bottom 4. This week our comparible seasons were 2002 (35%), 2008 (50%), 2014 (75%) and 2015 (76%). At least in 2008, we managed to achieve that mighty goal.




Key numbers are:
* 0.00% of minor premiership
- Warriors are 42% (+19%)
- Panthers are 40% (+15%)
- Roosters are 17% (-33%)
- Dolphins are 1% (-1%)
- Sharks and Knights are the 12th and 13th teams to reach 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 4
- Warriors and Panthers are 1st and 2nd teams to reach 100%
- Roosters are 95% (-4%)
- Dolphins are 71% (+14%)
- Sharks are 34% (+7%)
- Knights are 0.1% (-20%)
- Rabbitohs are the 10th team to reach 0.00%

* 0.00% of finishing in top 8
- 6 teams are already at 100%
- Rabbitohs are 91% (-6%)
- Cowboys are 70% (-5%)
- Bulldogs are 30% (+16%)
- Sea Eagles are 8% (+4%)
- Raiders and Storm are the 6th and 7th teams to reach 0.00%

* 62% of finishing in bottom 4 (-18%)
- Dragons are already at 100%
- Titans are 99% (+6%)
- Broncos are 84% (-11%)
- Eels are 53% (+22%)
- Storm are 2% (+1.2%)
- Sea Eagles and Bulldogs are the 10th and 11th teams to reach 0.00%

* 0% of wooden spoon (-1%)
- Dragons are 99.98% (+9%)
- Titans are 0.02% (-2%)
- Wests Tigers and Broncos are 14th and 15th team to reach 0.00%

 

[shiretiger]

That makes me moist