The J(uro) Curve

[Juro]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.04% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

 

[mike]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.0% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

Love your work. Is it possible to put 2005 in there as a reference? It would be good to compare with our only winning season.

 

[Juro]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.0% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

Love your work. Is it possible to put 2005 in there as a reference? It would be good to compare with our only winning season.

Would you believe that we are still ahead of where we were in 2005?


Of course, 26 June (my birthday) was the day that we started our amazing run in 2005\. That was also the day that I first joined the Wests Tigers Forum. I still remember listening to that game on the radio, driving home from my parents' house.

 

[mike]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.0% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

Love your work. Is it possible to put 2005 in there as a reference? It would be good to compare with our only winning season.

Would you believe that we are still ahead of where we were in 2005?


Of course, 26 June (my birthday) was the day that we started our amazing run in 2005\. That was also the day that I first joined the Wests Tigers Forum. I still remember listening to that game on the radio, driving home from my parents' house.

Thanks so much. There is still hope. That’s a pretty special memory.

 

[voice_of_reason]

\
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I hope Ivan hangs that on the wall of the training sheds and Robbie and Benji share a few tales with the rest of the crew.

 

[mike]

\
\
I hope Ivan hangs that on the wall of the training sheds and Robbie and Benji share a few tales with the rest of the crew.

I like that idea very much.

 

[Chicken_Faced_Killa]

Surprised that we dropped down so much, knew it would drop but thought we’d be around 40-45%

Hopefully we can repeat 05 and go on a run

 

[Tigerstruck]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.0% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

Love your work. Is it possible to put 2005 in there as a reference? It would be good to compare with our only winning season.

Would you believe that we are still ahead of where we were in 2005?


Of course, 26 June (my birthday) was the day that we started our amazing run in 2005\. That was also the day that I first joined the Wests Tigers Forum. I still remember listening to that game on the radio, driving home from my parents' house.

Love the fact that there is still hope, though can't see a 2005 type performance from this squad. Mbye and Farah will be great injections, but just can;t see it happening.
Also loving the stats Juro, keep it up mate!

 

[mike]

Just wanted to say Happy Birthday and have an awesome day.

 

[Juro]

Just wanted to say Happy Birthday and have an awesome day.

Thanks Mike. Looking forward to the team list being announced today. Should be an interesting one…

 

[tig_prmz]

first time we are lower than average this year

 

[Juro]

The J-Curve took its bye week a week early. It may need to take some more weeks off since it is looking very sick…


Key numbers after 16 rounds:
- 0.00% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 44%, Rabbitohs are 28%, we are the 7th team to reach 0.00%)
- 0.5% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 90%, Rabbitohs are 84%, Knights and Sea Eagles join 3 teams on 0.00%)
- 19% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons are 99.8%, Rabbitohs are 99.7%, Eels are 0.01%)
- 16% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 95%, Cowboys are 78%, Panthers join 2 teams on 0.00%)
- 0.5% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 56%, Cowboys are 18%, Broncos and Sharks join 6 teams on 0.00%)

Due to the wins by the Broncos and Raiders, our chances didn't improve with the bye.

Key numbers after 17 rounds:
- 0.00% chance of minor premiership (Rabbitohs are 31%, Dragons are 29%, 7 teams are on 0.00%)
- 0.4% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 82%, Titans join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 17% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons are 99.6%, Rabbitohs are 99.5%, Eels are 0.00%)
- 15% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 94%, Cowboys are 76%, 3 teams are on 0.00%)
- 0.4% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 53%, Bulldogs are 18%, 8 teams are on 0.00%)

 

[steve-o]

Thanks Juro. Depressing reading. Classic tigers

 

[happy_tiger]

How painful was it to watch the second half on Sunday? All the hard work of the first month evaporated in 40 minutes of pure bilge. Looking at the curve, it clearly shows the damage caused to our season. 31%…


Key numbers after 15 rounds:
- 0.0% chance of minor premiership (Dragons are 38%, Rabbitohs are 23%, Knights join 5 teams on 0.00%)
- 2% chance of finishing in top 4 (Dragons are 82%, Rabbitohs are 75%, Bulldogs and Cowboys join the Eels on 0.00%)
- 31% chance of finishing in top 8 (Dragons and Rabbitohs are 99%, Eels are 0.5%)
- 11% chance of finishing in bottom 4 (Eels are 89%, Bulldogs are 78%, Dragons and Rabbitohs are 0.00%)
- 0.3% chance of wooden spoon (Eels are 42%, Bulldogs are 24%, 6 teams are on 0.00%)

Love your work. Is it possible to put 2005 in there as a reference? It would be good to compare with our only winning season.

Would you believe that we are still ahead of where we were in 2005?


Of course, 26 June (my birthday) was the day that we started our amazing run in 2005\. That was also the day that I first joined the Wests Tigers Forum. I still remember listening to that game on the radio, driving home from my parents' house.

Thanks so much. There is still hope. That’s a pretty special memory.

If only Marshall and Farah were 13 years younger

We will still be making those comparisons in 2049

 

[Tweed_Tiger]

Wonder when the last time we had a win streak longer than the longest loss streak for that season.

 

[Juro]

Wonder when the last time we had a win streak longer than the longest loss streak for that season.

Here is a list of longest streaks by year:
2017: W=1, L=7
2016: W=3, L=6
2015: W=2, L=5
2014: W=3, L=6
2013: W=2, L=7
2012: W=7, L=5

Wow, that says so much…

 

[Tweed_Tiger]

Wonder when the last time we had a win streak longer than the longest loss streak for that season.

Here is a list of longest streaks by year:
2017: W=1, L=7
2016: W=3, L=6
2015: W=2, L=5
2014: W=3, L=6
2013: W=2, L=7
2012: W=7, L=5

Wow, that says so much…

Cheers had a feeling it wouldn't be PG rated

 

[happy_tiger]

Wonder when the last time we had a win streak longer than the longest loss streak for that season.

Here is a list of longest streaks by year:
2017: W=1, L=7
2016: W=3, L=6
2015: W=2, L=5
2014: W=3, L=6
2013: W=2, L=7
2012: W=7, L=5

Wow, that says so much…

Scariest thing is we probably have the worst losing streaks most seasons bar Newcastle

Win streaks in 2018 , shouldn't it be 3 games ??

 

[Geo]

The 2017 1 game winning streaks were good…

 

[Tweed_Tiger]

The 2017 1 game winning streaks were good…

As they say we were just taking it one week at a time..