The Run Home

[jadtiger]

#6/10…that is all.........for now..

with our differential being as poor as it is i feel we will need 7/10 unfortunately

 

[Juro]

So this is the run home:

R15 bye
R16 Storm @ AAMI - Sun 4pm
R17 Panthers @ ANZ - Sat 5.30pm
R18 Dogs @ ANZ (away) - Sat 7.30pm
R19 Bye
R20 Dragons @ ANZ (away) - Sun 4pm
R21 Eels @ ANZ (away) - TBA
R22 Cowboys @ Leichhardt -TBA
R23 Titans @ Cambo - TBA
R24 Panthers @ Pepper - TBA
R25 Warriors @ Mt Smart - TBA
R26 Raiders @ Leichhardt - TBA

In summary, that is:
2 byes,
2 games against top 4 teams,
5 games against teams 5-8 (including Parra),
3 games against teams 9-12,
0 games against bottom 4.

In short, there are no 'easy' games and games against teams 5-12 will be doubly important, as a win for us would mean a loss for our direct competitors.

And we need to win 6 games to get to 28 points. 26 may be enough this year, if Parra get stripped, but we'll probably need to rely on F/A, which is another problem.

 

[supercoach]

We will not win 6, but we might win four or five, we should at least have a few teams behind us and go into another off season full of confidence for the following year

 

[Regan]

So this is the run home:

R15 bye
R16 Storm @ AAMI - Sun 4pm
R17 Panthers @ ANZ - Sat 5.30pm
R18 Dogs @ ANZ (away) - Sat 7.30pm
R19 Bye
R20 Dragons @ ANZ (away) - Sun 4pm
R21 Eels @ ANZ (away) - TBA
R22 Cowboys @ Leichhardt -TBA
R23 Titans @ Cambo - TBA
R24 Panthers @ Pepper - TBA
R25 Warriors @ Mt Smart - TBA
R26 Raiders @ Leichhardt - TBA

In summary, that is:
2 byes,
2 games against top 4 teams,
5 games against teams 5-8 (including Parra),
3 games against teams 9-12,
0 games against bottom 4.

In short, there are no 'easy' games and games against teams 5-12 will be doubly important, as a win for us would mean a loss for our direct competitors.

And we need to win 6 games to get to 28 points. 26 may be enough this year, if Parra get stripped, but we'll probably need to rely on F/A, which is another problem.

\
\
Juro

Question when you were young instead of video games did you have a calculator in hand and a spreadsheet in the other love your work

 

[Juro]

Nah, I loved video games as well… just as long as they had numbers in them too...

 

[Geo]

**We will not win 6**, **but we might win four or five,** we should at least have a few teams behind us and go into another off season full of confidence for the following year

I feel you need to add…happily to be proven wrong..

 

[Tigerdon]

**We will not win 6**, **but we might win four or five,** we should at least have a few teams behind us and go into another off season full of confidence for the following year

I feel you need to add…happily to be proven wrong..

If we win 5 out of the last 10 games….we'll probably end up coming 9th again.

 

[shiretiger]

I can see us winning the next ten, giving us 11 in a row and a new record.

Tigers v Sharks GF and the lights stay out at Cronulla for another year, and I clean up $1200.

 

[Tiger_Watto]

6 easy wins there… FIRE UP TIGERS

 

[coolcat]

I think we could win here
Panthers
Dragons
Titans
Panthers
Worriers
And Canberra.

It wouldn't be the first year we make the eight by beating Canberra.

 

[AmericanHistoryX]

They're will be obstacles on the road along the way. Not everyone can make it. The shortest path is not always the best.

 

[Squaddy]

We're a big confidence team. Would really love to see 14k+ crowds at the Cowboys and Titans matches. Could give us some momentum into late August and into a possible September berth.

At least with the draw we're not going to jag a top 8 spot. We'll deserve to be there if we can get the points, which I wouldn't have said in say 2007 or 2012.

 

[ricksen]

We've been shocking off the bye/week off since the beginning of last year - will need to sort that out in Melbourne. Even if we don't win (I don't expect us to), we'll need a good performance from which to gain confidence and go on to the next few weeks.

We have a tough run in from here, and sadly I just can't see us doing it. Too many poor losses already.

 

[foreverbalmain]

I think we could win here
Panthers
Dragons
Titans
Panthers
Worriers
And Canberra.

It wouldn't be the first year we make the eight by beating Canberra.

Can we see Croker miss the game winner after the siren please :roll :roll 😛ray:

 

[jadtiger]

I think we could win here
Panthers
Dragons
Titans
Panthers
Worriers
And Canberra.

It wouldn't be the first year we make the eight by beating Canberra.

Can we see Croker miss the game winner after the siren please :roll :roll 😛ray:

I would rather be in front by a cricket score.It would be much better for my blood pressure

 

[Cosimo_Zaretti]

I think we could win here
Panthers
Dragons
Titans
Panthers
Worriers
And Canberra.

It wouldn't be the first year we make the eight by beating Canberra.

You could add the Eels to that list. Their season is a train wreck now. We play them after Norman's court date too, so quite likely they'll have both their starting halves out.

6 more wins would get us equal 8th on competition points, there'll be a few teams on 28\. We'd need to win those 6 games by an average of 12 points to sort out our F/A.

Unless we can get a couple of blowout wins I think we'll need a 30 point finish. If we can beat the Storm we'll be in good shape.

 

[Bones]

I think we could win here
Panthers
Dragons
Titans
Panthers
Worriers
And Canberra.

It wouldn't be the first year we make the eight by beating Canberra.

You could add the Eels to that list. Their season is a train wreck now. We play them after Norman's court date too, so quite likely they'll have both their starting halves out.

6 more wins would get us equal 8th on competition points, there'll be a few teams on 28\. We'd need to win those 6 games by an average of 12 points to sort out our F/A.

Unless we can get a couple of blowout wins I think we'll need a 30 point finish. If we can beat the Storm we'll be in good shape.

Going back to 2009 there has only been 4 teams to finish on 28 and not play finals, Tigers in 2009 (29 cut off), Dogs 2011 (on F/A) and Warriors and Parra in 2014 (both on F/A)

Chances are 28 will do but it's not a sure thing.

 

[Masterton]

Surely the Parra situation would give us a better chance.

 

[cunno]

Down hill I think

 

[Cosimo_Zaretti]

Surely the Parra situation would give us a better chance.

It does, since we're now effectively chasing 9th position. We might even bradbury through on 26 in 9th place, but I'd rather 30 points to rule out F/A as a possible factor.