Believe Mick is genuine. There's a large gap between someone who who is genuine believing something will occur and it actually occuring, but genuineness is a good start.
People cast aspersions on new members like Mick, but after following rugby league message boards since 1999 (sadly), I will say that a newly registered member is often more reliable than a denizen of the board. Ask yourselves, what does a new registrant get from lying? Then compare with a sadcase who occupies themselves on a message board and lives and dies by their reputation here. Who has more to gain?