Wests Tigers and the finals

[Balmain_Bug]

Is our record better at Campbelltown or Leichhardt in recent history ?

 

[Tiger_Watto]

Unless we finish first, our chance of a home final will be a night game. With this being the case, it should be played at the SFS… Finish first, and we get the Sunday game. If this happens, Leichhardt is the place.

Who don't you want to meet in week 1? Manly for mine...

 

[Chris]

Leichhardt is a must. A house full of Tigers fans at the old girl is an advantage no other team can claim and we need to make the most of it.

 

[Tigerdave]

We should play at whatever ground the players feel will give them the best advantage

 

[NZTiger]

Yep, let the players decide and have a vote.
Votes are counted and announced on WTTV :stuck_out_tongue:

 

[Year_of_the_Tiger]

Unless we finish first, our chance of a home final will be a night game. With this being the case, it should be played at the SFS… Finish first, and we get the Sunday game. If this happens, Leichhardt is the place.

Who don't you want to meet in week 1? Manly for mine...

OK heading to Sydney no matter what for the first round of finals. I will take monday off in case we play Sunday. If we win and dont play in QLD (dreaming) then back the following week, and another if we keep going.

Who do we really want to play and not? Canberra look like a dark horse if they win against the Cowboys and Brisbane. Roosters = two losses, no thanks. Manly, cocky buggers, I wouldn't mind that. Titans was a close game, ask me after round 26\. St George, not a bad option given their performance last year, and their slipping dominance. Panthers, yeah based on our last game, but they would be a different team and played average against us. Warriors happy. Broncos, dont think they'll make but if they do and locky is back, would hate to face them.

 

[supercoach]

It would be nice to take a team on at Cambo or leichhardt but in reality it will not happen, as far as Iam aware we have a contract with the SFS that binds us to play at their venue and of course theirs the dollars to consider, it costs mega bucks to run a football club and we need to get all the dollars we can get.

 

[alien]

It would be nice to take a team on at Cambo or leichhardt but in reality it will not happen, as far as Iam aware we have a contract with the SFS that binds us to play at their venue and of course theirs the dollars to consider, it costs mega bucks to run a football club and we need to get all the dollars we can get.

I think the NRL get the profits that are made at all finals matches.

 

[alien]

I agree,he says whilst very slowly drinking a can of woodstock. :wahoo:
thanks wests-tigers :sign:

:laughing: about time eh! :slight_smile:

 

[alien]

Scenario 1, round 23:

I have made the following simplifying assumptions:
* each game is a coin toss with each team having 50% chance of winning
* the winning margin in every game is 10

Over 10,000 simulations, the number of time Wests Tigers came each position was:
* 1st: 158
* 2nd: 3535
* 3rd: 1734
* 4th: 1499
* 5th: 1342
* 6th: 824
* 7th: 635
* 8th: 254
* 9th: 19
* 10th or lower: 0

Therefore, chance of:
* minor premiership: 1.6% (last week 2.3%)
* home semi final: 69.3% (last week 47.5%)
* top 8: 99.8% (last week 93.2%)

PLEASE NOTE, THE F/A ASSUMPTION MAY BE CRITICAL BECAUSE A BIG WIN OR LOSS COULD MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE TO OUR FINAL POSITION!

But not every team has a 50% chance of winning their match. So the probability is all wrong. There is only one man for this job!