shiretiger
Well-known member
Over the last decade, to make the Top 8, a team needed on average 28 points. To make the Top 4, a team on average needed 34 points.
So, we currently have 6 points in the bank. A win in Round 1 and two byes.
That means today, to make the top 8 we need 11 wins from our remaining 19 games - a win ratio of 57.8%.
To make the top 4, we need 14 wins from our remaining 19 games - a win ratio of 73.7%.
If we lose to the Broncos on Friday, those percentages increase to 61.1% and 77.8% respectively.
The mountain isn't unsurmountable at the moment but it doesn't take an Einstein to realise that with each game dropped, the mountain is going to get harder and harder to climb, with little or no room for error or poor performances.
So, we currently have 6 points in the bank. A win in Round 1 and two byes.
That means today, to make the top 8 we need 11 wins from our remaining 19 games - a win ratio of 57.8%.
To make the top 4, we need 14 wins from our remaining 19 games - a win ratio of 73.7%.
If we lose to the Broncos on Friday, those percentages increase to 61.1% and 77.8% respectively.
The mountain isn't unsurmountable at the moment but it doesn't take an Einstein to realise that with each game dropped, the mountain is going to get harder and harder to climb, with little or no room for error or poor performances.
