@mike said in [WOULD YOU VACCINATE TO BE ABLE TO WATCH SPORTS](/post/1436475) said:
I see some people are struggling with the maths, so here we go. Let's do the US, simply because I haven't done them for a while.
US Population is 333,143,413 so a bit more than 333 million.
US Deaths due to Covid19 is 631,299 so over 631 thousand.
333,142,413 / 631,299 is 527.7 so lets say 528
So for every 528 people in the US a person has died of Covid19. 1 in 528.
I agree with your maths but the elderly deaths heavily impact the overall rate being a significant % of the deaths whilst a low % of the population
Assuming (I don’t know these rates, they are guesstimates) they are 80% of the deaths but 20% of the population it comes down to around 1 death in 2,100 excluding the elderly
Elderly rate would be high but so would their rate of death in general
I’m not disagreeing with you, just trying to illustrate it moves around a lot by segment
Australia in total is around 1 death in 25,000 in total and would come down to 1 in 100,000 using the same theoretical exclusion of the elderly
It's only 1 in 25,000 in Australia because we are an Island and we have built a wall to keep the world and the virus out. That wall has been breached by the Delta strain and we can no longer rely on the wall. If the virus gets hold here we will have similar number to the US unless we vaccinate.
In regards to the elderly, while this may have been the case early on, the majority of the elderly have now been vaccinated and the virus profile has shifted to those that remain unvaccinated. ie the lower age groups.
Regardless of how you slice and dice it, that does not change the over all numbers and the fact remains that so far in the US 1 in 528 people have died of Covid19 during the Pandemic. That is what we are looking at here if the Delta strain takes hold and we remain unvaccinated.