I'd be very wary of assuming the 2022 Nanai is just waiting for a change of scenery to appear again, and I certainly wouldn't be contemplating taking his whole contract. This is from a pretty decent Cowboys season preview:
I almost dedicated a bonus newsletter last week to the dropping of Jeremiah Nanai, a player skating by on reputation for the better part of the last two seasons. Nanai had a tremendous rookie season in first grade, capped with a Kangaroos call up for the delayed World Cup, and then proceeded to hit the pause button on any progress since.
Bursting on to the scene as an enterprising back rower with a flair for the spectacular aerial contest, Nanai quickly built a reputation as one of the premier attacking edge forwards in the competition, but teams figure out pretty quickly whether your quiver is full of bows or sticks, and Nanai’s was several twigs short of a fire.
Tortured and laboured metaphor aside, Nanai is the classic example of a young player whose reputation outgrows his output to the point of overcorrection. That overcorrection in the public eye is beginning to sharpen as people cotton on to his…lets call it stagnation, as a player recently. I won’t go so far as to say he’s got a limited skillset because I think that’s patently untrue, but I do think it’s fair to say the scope of Nanai’s career thus far is an accurate microcosm of Todd Payten’s men the last two seasons.
Take 2022 for instance. Nanai burst onto the scene after a handful of first grade games the year prior, taking home Rookie of the Year honours in a season where he scored a blistering 17 tries from 23 games. Impact of the new quicker ruleset aside, that’s still seriously impressive...
Back to Nanai, the vessel for this long-winded metaphor about the Cowboys as a whole, but for someone with all the talent in the world and a rare blend of physical gifts to accompany it, he goes wherever the wind takes him far too often.
To be fair to him, it can be hard to impact the game as an edge forward at times, but that’s the territory that comes with the accolades he’s racked up and the countless coaches he’s fooled along the way.
Last year I wrote about how David Fifita’s reputation was miscast in my mind, and a lot of that is due to Nanai’s inverse unearned goodwill. The two have been pitted against each other at representative level, Nanai beating out Fifita for Queensland berths due to Fifita’s “lack of work rate”, ignoring that Nanai got beaten cold for what proved to be the eventual game winner in the decider last year when Jarome Luai danced around him to set up Bradman Best in the corner...
The dropping of Nanai by Todd Payten was a refreshing dose of stark reality to a player resting on his laurels and relying on talent alone in a league that finds out pretty quickly what you’re made of. People that don’t watch the Cowboys regularly (and I don’t blame you) might have been surprised to see such a rein pulled so quickly, but it had been in the works for the better part of 18 months.
The problem was it may have been Payten’s only rein, designed to shock and scare an underperforming team into action, instead they wilted in their own backyard as Cronulla waltzed in and promptly downed them by 24 without really breaking out of a canter...
As for Nanai, I do think it would’ve been more beneficial for him to stay out for a few weeks. His defensive issues won’t be fixed after one game at the lower level, and they’re coming up against a smarting Broncos side desperate for a bounce back after being stormed in the nation’s capital.