Betting

NJLM78

Well-known member
Joined
Jul 13, 2009
Messages
3,812
At this early stage Centrebet are offering $2.28 Tigers.

Raiders are favourite at $1.63 currently.
They are offering 3.5 point start to the Tigers.
 
I would guess Centrebet have seen the team as selections are normally wrapped up by mid morning.

That and Raiders in Canberra would almost always be favourite agaisnt us
 
What time do they normally announce the team for this week end…?
 
We're definitely good value.

I think those odds will even up by the end of the week.

I dont normally bet but I am seriously considering it now! :smiley:
 
@Geo. said:
@Zaibatsu said:
Tigers are good value for sure, I don't understand the purpose of a +3.5 start though, makes no sense.

it will at 23-20

What percentage of games are decided by 3 points?

Lines that make sense:
+0.5
+2.5
+4.5
+6.5
+8.5
+10.5
+12.5

Lines that don't make sense but are commonly used:
+3.5
+5.5
 
@Zaibatsu said:
@Geo. said:
@Zaibatsu said:
Tigers are good value for sure, I don't understand the purpose of a +3.5 start though, makes no sense.

it will at 23-20

What percentage of games are decided by 3 points?

Lines that make sense:
+0.5
+2.5
+4.5
+6.5
+8.5
+10.5
+12.5

Lines that don't make sense but are commonly used:
+3.5
+5.5

Umm what about if you were betting the other way? 4 and 6 aren't exactly rare.
 
@Zaibatsu said:
@Geo. said:
@Zaibatsu said:
Tigers are good value for sure, I don't understand the purpose of a +3.5 start though, makes no sense.

it will at 23-20

What percentage of games are decided by 3 points?

Lines that make sense:
+0.5
+2.5
+4.5
+6.5
+8.5
+10.5
+12.5

Lines that don't make sense but are commonly used:
+3.5
+5.5

It is a bit 'odd' - but I assume it is because they use some sort of formula to calculate an appropiate line?
 
Probably not a bad number considering the number of games we've lost by less than 4 points this year. That wont be the case this week however. TIgers by 8.
 
@Zaibatsu said:
@Marshall_magic said:
@Zaibatsu said:
Tigers are good value for sure, I don't understand the purpose of a +3.5 start though, makes no sense.

Raiders by less than a try

Which 2.5 would cover. :unamused:

What if someone kicks a field goal just before HT…...could easily lead to a 3pt game.....
 
@Geo. said:
@Zaibatsu said:
@Marshall_magic said:
Raiders by less than a try

Which 2.5 would cover. :unamused:

What if someone kicks a field goal just before HT…...could easily lead to a 3pt game.....

or if someone kicks the field goal to early and then concede a try.

Now that we're going on about it, it'll probably end up a three point game, if not this one, then another on the weekend.
 
@Zaibatsu said:
Tigers are good value for sure, I don't understand the purpose of a +3.5 start though, makes no sense.

Its a hook, to get you in…..heaps more than a goal difference, but just short of a try.

Like a sale price of $24.99...ppl think 24 rather than 25
 

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