Labor stinks say most voters
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Piers Akerman
Tuesday, April 10, 2012 (6:33am)
MOST voters now think Labor stinks, according to the latest Newspoll results published today in The Australian.
The disgraced party is now far less popular than it was when it struggled to form a minority government with the support of the extremist Greens and turncoat Independents in 2010.
Exactly mid-way through its term, its support has dropped across the nation in every voting group.
Federal Labor behind the Coalition on primary vote and on a two-party-preferred basis in every state. It is down from between three and six percentage points on primary vote and two to five points after a distribution of preferences.
The Coalition has its biggest lead over Labor in Queensland, where Newspoll recorded a three per cent swing against it which would leave just one or possibly two Labor seats as I wrote in The Sunday Telegraph, while voter dissatisfaction with Prime Minister Julia Gillard is greatest there Opposition leader Tony Abbott holds a 10-point lead as preferred prime minister.
According to the latest analysis of Newspoll surveys taken between January and March this year exclusively for The Australian, Labor’s slight recovery in the last quarter of last year has been wiped out.
That miniscule recovery had Labor’s media sycophants at Fairfax and the ABC claiming Gillard had managed to turn the tide of dissatisfaction with the government.
Wrong. Labor trails in every state and demographic group and the Prime Minister has a negative satisfaction rating in every state and among every voting group.
The only real sign of improvement in Labor’s support has been among voters aged 18-34, where the Greens appear to have lost ground from their position at the 2010 election.
Even in Labor’s strongest states—SA and Victoria—the primary vote is settled at six points below August 2010 levels.
A rise in Labor’s primary vote in NSW, where satisfaction with Ms Gillard and the Opposition Leader fell from 28 to 31 per cent in January-March, still left Labor six points down on its 37 per cent vote in 2010.
After the distribution of preferences based on the 2010 flow, Queensland is the Coalition’s best state, where it leads Labor 58 to 42 per cent.
In NSW the Coalition leads Labor 54 to 46 per cent.
If reflected at the next election, the swings in NSW and Queensland would deliver the Coalition government; indeed, Queensland would do so on its own if the Coalition held its seats in other states.
Gillard’s announcement of the carbon dioxide tax in late February last year triggered a slide in voter satisfaction between 10 and 16 points in all areas.
Even among younger voters, her satisfaction was unchanged on 33 per cent with steady dissatisfaction of 54 per cent.
A House of Representatives election must be held by November next year and a half-Senate election cannot be held until the first week of August 2013.
Labor is in disarray in every State.
Labor is stuck with a loser as leader. MPs are asking themselves whether they can afford to desert this leader as they did her predecessor Kevin Rudd.
More than Labor is at stake, the future of the nation is in the balance as this party destroys the economy and moral fabric of the country.
291 Comments | Permalink Piers Akerman Blog
Piers Akerman
Tuesday, April 10, 2012 (6:33am)
MOST voters now think Labor stinks, according to the latest Newspoll results published today in The Australian.
The disgraced party is now far less popular than it was when it struggled to form a minority government with the support of the extremist Greens and turncoat Independents in 2010.
Exactly mid-way through its term, its support has dropped across the nation in every voting group.
Federal Labor behind the Coalition on primary vote and on a two-party-preferred basis in every state. It is down from between three and six percentage points on primary vote and two to five points after a distribution of preferences.
The Coalition has its biggest lead over Labor in Queensland, where Newspoll recorded a three per cent swing against it which would leave just one or possibly two Labor seats as I wrote in The Sunday Telegraph, while voter dissatisfaction with Prime Minister Julia Gillard is greatest there Opposition leader Tony Abbott holds a 10-point lead as preferred prime minister.
According to the latest analysis of Newspoll surveys taken between January and March this year exclusively for The Australian, Labor’s slight recovery in the last quarter of last year has been wiped out.
That miniscule recovery had Labor’s media sycophants at Fairfax and the ABC claiming Gillard had managed to turn the tide of dissatisfaction with the government.
Wrong. Labor trails in every state and demographic group and the Prime Minister has a negative satisfaction rating in every state and among every voting group.
The only real sign of improvement in Labor’s support has been among voters aged 18-34, where the Greens appear to have lost ground from their position at the 2010 election.
Even in Labor’s strongest states—SA and Victoria—the primary vote is settled at six points below August 2010 levels.
A rise in Labor’s primary vote in NSW, where satisfaction with Ms Gillard and the Opposition Leader fell from 28 to 31 per cent in January-March, still left Labor six points down on its 37 per cent vote in 2010.
After the distribution of preferences based on the 2010 flow, Queensland is the Coalition’s best state, where it leads Labor 58 to 42 per cent.
In NSW the Coalition leads Labor 54 to 46 per cent.
If reflected at the next election, the swings in NSW and Queensland would deliver the Coalition government; indeed, Queensland would do so on its own if the Coalition held its seats in other states.
Gillard’s announcement of the carbon dioxide tax in late February last year triggered a slide in voter satisfaction between 10 and 16 points in all areas.
Even among younger voters, her satisfaction was unchanged on 33 per cent with steady dissatisfaction of 54 per cent.
A House of Representatives election must be held by November next year and a half-Senate election cannot be held until the first week of August 2013.
Labor is in disarray in every State.
Labor is stuck with a loser as leader. MPs are asking themselves whether they can afford to desert this leader as they did her predecessor Kevin Rudd.
More than Labor is at stake, the future of the nation is in the balance as this party destroys the economy and moral fabric of the country.