@tigertownsfs said in [Revealed: Secret bid to buy battling Tigers](/post/1358978) said:
@tiger5150 said in [Revealed: Secret bid to buy battling Tigers](/post/1358975) said:
@tigertownsfs said in [Revealed: Secret bid to buy battling Tigers](/post/1358953) said:
If you look at sport globally the brand and the franchise is worth a lot of money.
Strongly disagree. Any asset is only worth a multiple of the possible return on investment (ROI). What is the ROI of an NRL "franchise"? Seriously. Other than Brisbane, none of the club consistently make profits and even when they do (or dont) more than 50% of their revenue is a grant from the NRL, Its a terrible business model, the whole NRL is. The whole NRL set up with its agreements for club Grants and the fact the grants and salary cap at fixed to revenue restricts profits.
Other than fixed assets, which most of the clubs have almost none, the only assets are future sales and NRL grants and these are almost by design totally chewed up ensuring no profit (salary cap tied to grant).
There is no ROI on an NRL club and therefore almost no value.
>Whilst the club may not make a profit we have only really been in the post super league professional era for a decade and already clubs like Rabbits and Easts are building extremely strong brands that will increase in value over time.
Why will they increase in value in time? What is the source of income for the Roosters and Souths? More than 50% is the grant which is tied to salaries and also the media deal (which can fluctuate).
>In the premier league and US sports these types of assets become play things of the rich and powerful and it wouldn’t be hard to imagine that is where these franchises go.
The premier league and US sports have the benefit of enormous markets that are not enjoyed by the NRL. Some (not all) EPL teams make ENORMOUS profits and this is the value of these assets. It simply doesnt exist in Australia ir the NRL.
>Crowe paid 1.5m for his 50% share and all up has probably invested something like $5m in Rabbits. That 50% would probably be worth at least $20m if not more.
The fact that Crowe continually tips in money makes the asset worth less not more. If Crowe was continually taking money out it would be worth something.
I’d suggest owning a club that is on TV watched by hundreds of thousands of people a week has value.
Thats the problem with the NRL clubs as assets. Watched by thousands of people a week does have a value. That value is the media deal. That value then goes to the NRL and they divide a portion of it up into 16 and gives it to the clubs as a grant. The only other value out of that is as marketing to potential sponsors and based on the last 20 years that has not been profitable for the clubs.
V'Landys recently spoke to the clubs telling them to expect the new media deal to be less. 10 have pulled out, 7 offer half of 9....new players hesitant...
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/nrl/nrl-preparing-to-get-back-in-the-black-as-tv-talks-ramp-up-20210226-p5768c.html
Football clubs are not a bank stock paying a dividend. They are more analogous to a rare painting or a house with harbour views. They are not valued on their cash flows, they are worth what their owners want to pay for them.
I am not talking about cash flow. Cash flow is irrelevant. Return on Investment (ROI) or capital gain is everything. I spoke about revenue in my post because that is ALL the clubs really have.
In your examples a rare painting is a RARE commodity and as a result will gain in value. Same with houses with harbour views. The opportunity to lose or not make money is not a rare commodity.
Also, if you haven’t noticed assets with zero cash flows have increased quite a bit recently.
Again, talking about ROI or capital gain. If you mean property, clearly there is a capital gain.
Im not looking at getting into an argument about this, couldnt really be bothered. Simply making the point that there is no structural or systemic value in a NRL club. My initial response to you wasnt...."you are wrong or full of it"....it was why? My point being there is no financial reason for NRL clubs to have a high or increasing value.
Like you said, anything is worth what people are prepared to pay for it but the fact that the clubs dont make a profit and no ROI will obviously have a depressive impact on that value. If there was tremendous and growing value in owning an NRL club, why isnt there a market for it? Why dont we see rich businessmen lining up to but them and resell them?