Interesting match up this week, especially with our outs in the centres which is where their strenghts lie. I've done a quick SWOT analysis to come up with a potential game plan to beat the Rabbits. Interesting to hear you views and recommendations.
STRENGTHS (Us)
1. Second Phase Play (Offloads / Link Play)
- Observation: We have genuine second-phase ability through middle + edge forwards.
- So What: Souths’ defensive structure compresses well initially but can fracture when forced into repeated defensive decisions in broken play.
- Deduction: Promote offloads early in sets — not just late-set desperation. Fatigue + indecision will expose Souths’ edges.
2. Dual Edge Threat (Balanced Attack)
- Observation: We can attack both edges rather than being predictable.
- So What: Souths’ edges are big-bodied (Fafita/Mitchell side especially) → strong contact, weaker lateral agility.
- Deduction: Shift the point of attack frequently. Don’t allow Souths to get set and number up.
WEAKNESSES – (Us)
1. Inconsistent Game Control (Benji-era growing pains)
- Observation: We drift away from structured control.
- So What: Bennett teams punish lapses ruthlessly.
- Deduction: Need clear control from our spine especially early in halves. Limit low-percentage footy.
2. Defensive Resilience Under Pressure
- Observation: Susceptible to repeat-set pressure.
- So What: Souths, through Cameron Murray, generate layered attack (middle + edges + shape).
- Deduction: Discipline + line speed must hold — otherwise Murray unlocks shape on both sides.
OPPORTUNITIES - (Us)
1. Walker’s Edge (Physical + Mental Target)
- Observation: Cody Walker is elite offensively but can be rattled physically/mentally.
- So What: If disrupted, Souths lose rhythm on their primary attacking side.
- Deduction:
- Constant traffic at him
- Controlled niggle (legal, repeat pressure)
- Kick pressure → force errors
This is a key leverage point.
2. Souths Edge Size = Less then optimal lateral defence
- Observation: Edge combo of Trell + Fifita is powerful but not agile laterally.
- So What: They defend “in straight lines,” struggle with quick shifts and second phase play.
- Deduction:
- Sweep + second-man plays
- Shape
- Second phase opportunities on the edge
3. Murray as Third Playmaker
- Observation: Cameron Murray links play through the middle.
- So What: He’s a point of difference and playes between Souths’ forwards and edges.
- Deduction:
- Jam his time/space
- Win ruck speed → reduce his influence
THREATS - (Them)
1. Left Edge Firepower (Walker / Mitchell / Fafita)
- Observation: This is a their go to.
- So What: If given time/space, they can score in bunches.
- Deduction:
- Must compress early
- Bid body of Skelton to assist in nullifying size advantage
- Defence must be active and connected with early decisions
- We must trust the system and not focus on the individuals
2. Bennett’s Game Plan
- Observation: Wayne Bennett likes to:
- Win field position
- Build pressure
- Capitalise on errors
- Work the left edge
- So What: We won’t get many “free” momentum swings.
- Deduction: Error rate must be low — especially coming out of yardage.
KEY THOUGHT
This game is a contrast of styles:
- Souths: well developed and controlled with a focus on their left edge.
- Us: unstructured threat within loose structure, second-phase play off cues, emerging attacking identity.
So what
If the game becomes structured and becomes a grind → Souths have the advantage
If the game becomes chaotic (controlled chaos) → we win
GAME PLAN
1. Start Fast, but maintain control (First 20 mins)
- No miracle plays, play to second phase cues
- High completion
- Kick to corners, build pressure
Goal: Neutralise Souths control
2. Target Walker Relentlessly
- Focus runners at him to make him defend
- Compress on him and chase hard early to disrupt his confidence
Goal: Fatigue + frustrate Walker to disrupt Souths’ left edge rhythm
3. Play Fast Through the Middle → Then Shift
Win the contact and promote second phase play through offloads and ruck speed (Api and Bula through the middle) then immediately shift focus to the edges (don’t reset) to capitalise on their limited lateral defensive capability
Goal: Exploit slow edges
4. Attack Both Edges Equally
- Avoid predictability
- Use second-man and sweep plays
Goal: Force repeat defensive decisions on both sides of the field
5. Reduce Murray’s and Walker’s Influence (control Mitchell, Fafita and Koloamatangi)
- Line speed and inside pressure must be consistent
- Ruck control
- Trust system, don't focus on individuals
Goal: Deny time, not just spac
6. Controlled Chaos (Our Weapon)
Once fatigue sets in:
- Increase offloads
- Increase tempo
- Push support through middle and attack the edges
Goal: Break South’s defensive structure and induce fatigue → advantage to us.
PLAN IN A NUTSHELL
- Win the ruck
- Target Walker, Murray and Humphries effectively
- Shift early and often
- Embrace controlled second-phase play
This will pull Souths out of structure and provide us with opportunity to unleash our attack.
This isn’t about whether we’re “better” than Souths. It’s about whether we can play the right game. If we keep it structured the advantage lies with Souths, if we turn the game into controlled chaos we have the advantage. This is a great test to see where we are at under Benji.