I guess my question would to the points raised is this
So some viruses form by themselves or are they all leaks
Bird Flu Swine Flu .....
If you are genuinely interested Happy, go and look at the videos I recently posted in this thread. They are by an evolutionary biologist that specialises in bats and he gives a pretty good explanation of it all.
If you cant be bothered, the tldr version is this.
All viruses are merely small segments of genetic material (some DNA some RNA) covered in lipids (fat) with hooks that enable them to attach to certain types of cells (vary between different viruses). Every time a virus cell hooks onto a target cell, it basically injects its RNA/DNA into the target cell and uses the target cells as an incubator in which it replicates itself many times over with numerous "new" virus cells bursting out of the target cell.
Every time the virus does this and replicates it runs the risk of changing (mutating) very slightly either from replication errors or by interaction with the RNA/DNA of the target cell. This is partly how the genomic sequencing of COVID works.
COVID19 contains genetic material from bats and pangolins and these two animals do not share habitat. This means that at some stage a pangolin has to have caught it from a bat or vice versa and probably a number of times. The variation would take a lot of time to get to the stage that it is and it is unlikely that it would happen naturally in the wild without having been discovered, particularly as it is a zoonotic virus that effects humans.
Still tldr? A virus can exist in nature but varies/mutates slightly as it replicates. Would take a long time of bats catching it from pangolins and back and forth to get to COVID19. Or alternatively it could have been developed (for good benign scientific/medical reasons) in a lab that exists in Wuhan, that is a Biosecurity Level 4 facility that by their own published information specialises in coronavirus virus research into gain of function (intentionally making it worse) virus from bats and pangolins.
I did know some of that ..some I didn't so i appreciate all the trouble taht went into that
But my question in short was more this .....you can believe the virus was created by nature or you can believe it was nurtured
But as we have all learnt and seen if it was nurtured as some are suggesting ...it only takes one set of loose lips to sink the whole entire battleship .....and with the money that would be attached to delivering that info to the press ....
And as we have seen in the case of WOMD ......people are always prepared to spill the beans ..in the end
And if you want to blame the Chinese ...what in the end do they get out of it .......the world economies will bounce even higher out of it than at the start .......it wouldn't end Western Civilization ......the only thing would be something that should scare everyone ...they try an even worse virus next .....
I believe nature created the virus ......and we should all pray that is the case
I think you (and others here) are putting 2 + 2 together and getting 5.
The lab in Wuhan WAS creating viruses (including coronaviruses from bats and pangolins) and INTENTIONALLY making them worse. This is called "gain of function" research. This isnt conspiratorial QAnon stuff, this is published information, from the lab itself. It isnt a secret and it isnt malevolent, they were doing it with the knowledge and approval of the whole world. They were trained in how to do it by the US and even in Australia. It is legitimate and important scientific and medical research.
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/25/5/18-0220_article
The hypothesis that the virus came from the BSCL4 Lab in Wuhan, isnt suggesting that China was weaponising the virus (well they were effectively but without the intent of using it as a weapon), but that there are MANY ways that a gain of function virus (including a bat/pangolin mutation which COVID is) could escape the lab such as on someones clothing, or a worker there could have become infected with it and gone home with it (patient zero).
In 2018 the US raised concerns with China regarding breaches of security at the lab but China blocked US efforts to investigate.
https://www.voanews.com/covid-19-pandemic/chinese-lab-checkered-safety-record-draws-scrutiny-over-covid-19
https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to-study-world-s-most-dangerous-pathogens-1.21487
This seriously is the path of least resistance occams razor hypothesis.
Doesn't explain why you would then release it ....
IMO the most obvious and likely scenario is it want released. In this lab every day they are creating these viruses and working on them in order to make them "worse" (gain of function) in part to learn how to deal with them if they get out into the wild. The reason this lab is designated Biosec Level 4 is it has to meet incredible standards of security in order to prevent these pathogens from getting out. IMO the lost likely is that it has somehow gotten out by a breach in biosecurity protocols. Concerns were raised two years earlier of lapses in these protocols. The virus could have left the lab on someones clothing or in a workers lungs. This hypothesis does not suggest it was intentionally released.
So why did 2+2=5
I never suggested it wasn't in a lab ...I was saying God help us all if it was purposely released .....
Because I read you post (and others) to suggest that if it was created in a lab that it logically follows that it was purposely released. This is not the most logical outcome. It is much more logical that it left on someones clothes or in their lungs.
No I was arguing against the few that believe it was released purposely .......or thought it was made from scratch in a lab
In the lab, in Wuhan, every day, day after day they created virus from scratch, in the lab. Viruses that have never existed in nature. Intentionally, with the full knowledge and approval of the whole scientific/medical community. A little from here, a little from there. A little bat, a little pangolin. This is exactly what they do (or at least did) and this is why the lab was specifically built and trained (by the US) as a BioSec Level 4 Lab. This is not hypothesis. This is not conspiracy. This is not QAnon. This is a scientific, published fact.
Im not saying that for 100% certain that it came from the lab. I dont know that, I cant know that 100% certain. IMO its unlikely that we can ever determine 100% where it came from.
What I am saying in this thread is that I do think it came from the lab, almost certainly accidentally. The reason I think this is that it is the most likely and logical way for it to happen. Again using occams razor, you have to consider that the lab is the least resistance path.
For mine it is way too much coincidence that there is a lab with previous biosecurity breaches that specifically creates and researches gain of function coronaviruses in bats and pangolins that are not encountered in nature at the specific geograhical centre of an epidemic of a gain of function coronavirus of bat and pangolin origin that has never previously been encountered in nature.
Others may not agree and genuinely think it came from the wet market and that is cool and their right. This is unlikely though due to the gain of function nature of the virus and the multiple RNA/DNA origin. Previous wet market outbreaks have not been gain of function and have all been single origin zoonotic viruses. Bird Flu, swine flu etc.
Others may not agree with the lab hypothesis and may feel it simply a MASSIVE coincidence but to suggest that it is crazy, has no factual basis, that it is a conspiracy theory and indicates mental illness is....well crazy.
I don't think anyone here has suggested that the idea the virus was developed in a lab indicates mental illness. It is definitely something that may have happened, but at this point there is no evidence or proof of that occurring.
Earl said regarding someone believing that the virus may have originated in the lab
*"This is the point. To me it’s a mental health issue. There are no facts to these crazy theories. There is so much evidence against these crazy theories.
The obvious conclusion is that these people have mental health problems.?"*
By definition anyone that believes that it was created and released purposefully, that the virus doesn't exist or it is being manipulated to control people believe in a conspiracy theory.
This is basically my whole point in this part of the thread. It is NOT conspiracy theory to believe that the virus could be created in the WIV BSL4 Lab Wuhan. I have posted here stacks of publications showing that this is exactly what they do, create chimaeric gain of function viruses to study if they are transmissible to humans. It is EXACTLY what they do and why the lab was created, so its not a crazy conspiracy to suggest that they do what they prove and show to the world that they do.
I am genuinely surprised about the level of argument into something that is essentially unarguable. I think it has a political basis in that if someone like me says this, it is taken as anti-China/Pro Trump, who is a convicted Rapist and Felon/Right wing etc etc and as a result anyone holding the opposite beliefs will react in a knee jerk reaction.
What I am saying has no political basis, they are merely statements of facts.
I agree it is not a conspiracy theory that the virus could have originated in a lab, that is why there are ongoing investigations.