How can anyone say with any confidence that we have only 1893 infected patients when only 148,000 people have been tested? I realise this was targeted testing on those with sore throats and running noses but the numbers remain inconclusive. I don’t wish to alarm anyone but this is a deadly invasive virus which sneaks up on you. 14,000 infected with the virus is definitely not out of the question. Stay safe.
Twentyforty 14000 IS DEFINITELY out of the question. At the *lowest * mortality rates reported globally, that would mean 140 dead and 700 hospitalised. We have 7 dead and 14 hospitalised which tracks pretty closely to all other data. I think the other data reflects well on the testing.
If we have 14000 cases, that would mean the death rate of 0.05% and we should just all get on with our day and forget about lockdowns.
Its hard to hide dead bodies and ICU beds.
@Tiger5150 I think you’re making some assumptions with your view? When you calculate the death rate you include all the new cases of SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2). You also exclude those not diagnosed and god knows how many people are living alone with the virus and others alone who are possibly not? The stats only show the positive number from those tested.
Not really no. No assumptions just simple maths. Our reported death and hospitalisation rates are about the lowest reported in the world based on the REPORTED figures. If the numbers are significantly higher it means our death and hospitalisation numbers (which are measurable and not debatable) are beyond anything experienced anywhere on earth. Again I said 14000 is definitely out of the question because if we had 7 deaths and 13 in hospital for 14000 deaths, then bring on the footy and open up the pubs!
2weeks ago we had 100 infected patients, today we have 2000 and these are only from testing.
Yes, that is the nature of exponential growth as I’ve bored many with here repeatedly here. Over week ago when bunker boy said it would be 14000 today I said it will be 2040. Who got closer?
My point is that based on global best case scenario for death and hospitalisation rates, our case numbers look about right. Definitely not too low.