jirskyr
Well-known member
@ElleryHanley said in [Everyone needs to chill out \!](/post/1162877) said:Actually, 2 and 3 is really poor.
Saints
Sharks
Titans
all bottom feeders…
Knights and Raiders only two difficult games.
I get where you are coming from but there also needs to be some realism applied here.
A formline of 3W 2L, held for the season, will comfortably play finals football. We just have to stay over 50% wins. The Titans loss was by a very very slight margin and single bounce of the ball, so we are looking honestly at 1 bad loss, 1 "ok" loss, 1 close win, 1 fairly comfortable win, 1 very close freak loss. That's probably about right for where Tigers are as a team.
You would not have realistically tipped Tigers to beat Raiders, and it turns out Knights are a form side as well, so that's 2 losses against Top-4 sides. The only team to have beaten the Raiders so far is Knights, and the only team to beat Knights is currently 3rd, so there is consistent form of those top sides being a cut about everyone else right now.
You would also have tipped us to beat Dragons and hoped we'd beat Sharks, so really the only dropped game from a punting point of view was Titans. We need to convert more Titans-type clashes into wins, which remains to be seen if we do that, but that's the key. We are going to drop some of those "winnable" matches, it's inevitable.