@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
They are giving risk scenarios
Of course they are giving risk scenarios ! That's why, when I introduced the topic, I said it was their "worst-case scenario".
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
they aren’t predicting how many people they think will get COVID if it was to rip through
That's right. They are outlining a reasonable set of expectations based on actual real-world experiences with Covid.
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
But you have crunched and twisted the data,
What absolute garbage. First you accuse me of "misrepresenting" the data, and I pointed out that it was you who misunderstood basic concepts like Absolute Risk and Infection Fatality Rate.
Now you say I "twisted the data". How did I "twist" the data ? If I have produced a risk calculation that you don't like, then why don't you do the calculation and show me where i'm wrong.
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
and I am going to make a guess here that you were already vaccination-skeptic before you read the material. I.e. I am guessing you didn’t read the material first, then become concerned about the vaccine.
Not only was I skeptical of the gene based covid vaccines, I was also skeptical about the actual risk Sars Cov-2 posed for me. Hence my interest in risk.
My daughter's friend, who is an epidemiologist with the Australian Government, passed the document on to me.
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
And why just this one document?
Why not. It was produced by the Australian Government, so it has some credibility.
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
You are right that the nitty-gritty is irrelevant.
Now you are verballing me.
@jirskyr said in [Have you been vaccinated?](/post/1414982) said:
Don’t take the vaccine, but in doing to you increase your risk of serious illness and death, and increase the risk to the general community.
I will make the decision based on my calculation of the risks and benefits. That's why I would appreciate you demonstrating my mathematical errors.
One final thing about perceptions of risk, it was reported in the press that a research company, True North, asked people to rate their chances of dying if they were infected with the Delta variant.
Apparently, older respondents rated the risk slightly higher, and the young a little lower, but the average response was an astonishing 38 per cent.
Can you believe that - an IFR of 38%. The PHE data I linked for you had a CFR of not much more than 0.1%. People are being seriously mislead by the MSM.