It's a tough run into the finals to be fair -we really needed to stack up in wins earlier in the year vs Parramatta and Newcastle, and get home against the Broncos, and the Roosters - Those losses will prove to be crucial.
Our tough run has gotten even tougher with teams expected to not be at the top of the table still with 2 games against us.
2 games vs Dragons.
2 games vs Rabbitohs
and don't forget -
1 game vs Raiders who seem to grow a 3rd leg against our mob.
My Assessment is we get as high as 22 points - three more wins and the bye.
We are going to need MINIMUM 5 wins and probably 6 wins and a MINIMUM of 26 points, and probably 28 points to make the 8 (due to bye changes this year, only 1 bye per team so the usual 28 point cut off drops down a bit)
We win against the Dogs, Manly and Newcastle IMHO - Manly and the dogs will have already clocked off, and the Knights are the only team in the comp who handle pressure worse than our mob does.
If we can turn the tide vs the Raiders, and they are out of finals contention, maybe - although it would be an almighty swing of form - we'd need then at LEAST a win each against either the Dragons or the Rabbits, or a brace of wins against either side.
Simply put, taking of my parochial Tigers Glasses for a moment - I just can't see where we'll get 5-6 wins from with out remaining games.