Bolters galore NSW State of Origin side picked on stats
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From: The Daily Telegraph
May 19, 2011 5:15PM
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CANTERBURY youngster Tim Lafai will probably play Toyota Cup this week - kind of strange for a player who should be in the NSW Origin team.
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Well, according to the stats anyway.
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The Daily Telegraph has crunched the numbers to determine a NSW team based on NRL SuperCoach stats – and there are bolters galore.
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Lafai, Panthers winger David Simmons and Warriors playmaker James Maloney all make the grade.
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Seven players from the actual NSW team make the NSW SuperCoach side – Akuila Uate, Mark Gasnier, Greg Bird, Paul Gallen, Kade Snowden, Tim Mannah and Ben Creagh.
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See full team below
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Fullback:
Jarryd Hayne (average points 61.43) gets the nod over William Hopoate (61.4) by the tiniest of margins (0.03 of a point). Michael Gordon (75) would have won the spot, but was not considered due to injury, while Stewart Mills (62) was deemed to have not played enough games.
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Wingers:
Akuila Uate (46) and David Simmons (47) take the flanks, despite each being a fair way down the list of CTWs. The following players were not considered: Michael Gordon (75, injury), Stewart Mills (62, not enough games), Jason Nightingale (55, NZ), Matt Duffie (51, NZ), Kalifa Faifai Loa (49, NZ), Darius Boyd (50, Qld), Ashley Graham (50, Qld), Antonio Winterstein (48, Qld).
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Centres:
Mark Gasnier (68) was a clear choice, averaging a full 16 points more than his nearest rival Lafai (52). Matt Cooper (57, rep retirement), Alex Glenn (56, NZ), Chris Lawrence (56, injury), Elijah Taylor (55, NZ), Steve Matai (53, NZ) and Beau Champion (52, injury) would have scored Lafai’s spot, but were not considered.
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Five-eighth: Greg Bird (58) wins the spot, ahead of Luke Lewis (57), Feleti Mateo (56) and Jamie Soward (55). James Maloney (61) would have won the position, but he has been named at halfback. Ashley Harrison (74, Qld) and Benji Marshall (67, NZ) were ineligible.
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Halfback:
Maloney (61) is a clear winner ahead of Jamie Soward (55). Johnathan Thurston (76, Qld) is the only halfback who averages higher than Maloney.
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Props:
Aiden Tolman (77) and Luke Bailey (66) get the starting spots, with Kade Snowden (62) and Tim Mannah (58) on the bench. NSW have a clear statistical advantage at prop. Only Ben Hannant (61, Qld)) and Dave Taylor (58, Qld) would have scored spots if eligible.
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Hooker:
Despite carrying an injury all year, **Robbie Farah (58)** is a clear winner ahead of Jamie Buhrer (52) and Michael Ennis (50). Only Cameron Smith (83, Qld) would have beaten Farah to the spot if eligible.
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Back row:
Paul Gallen (85) is first player picked. **Chris Heighington (70)** and Anthony Watmough (67) take the other starting spots, while Trent Waterhouse (65) and Ben Creagh (64) fill the bench. The final interchange spot was given to Creagh (rather than the usual backline utility) because of the value of back rowers in SuperCoach. NSW hold a clear advantage here also. Only Corey Parker (89, Qld) and Ashley Harrison (74, Qld) could have forced their way into the team if eligible.
Of course we already know this.
Its been this way for years.