JD Tiger
New member
@Tiger5150 said in [Coronavirus Outbreak](/post/1284797) said:@Tiger5150 said in [Coronavirus Outbreak](/post/1284494) said:@jadtiger said in [Coronavirus Outbreak](/post/1284489) said:@TillLindemann said in [Coronavirus Outbreak](/post/1284473) said:South Africa is saying there's a mutated version of covid doing the rounds there that seems to affect young healthy adults more.
And in the UK there's a more contagious strain exploding.
The variant in the UK is centered around the London area and is apparently more contagious but is not believed to be more lethal
I dont think (I dont know though) that they know if it is more or less lethal. They do know that this new strain has jumped from 28% of new cases to 68% of cases very quickly.
Which strangely enough could be fantastic news for the UK. If its true that this new strain is so much more contagious (28-68% quickly suggests it is) AND it was less lethal, it could actually spell the end of the virus because the new strain would outcompete the old and it would be possible that the new strain could eradicate the old. It would effectively be a natural vaccine.
A bit of a hypothetical follow on from this. The "COVID19" virus has a case fatality rate, somewhere around 1% which isnt high but isnt something that can be ignored either.
In response to the this new "more contagious" but AT THIS STAGE suggested lower case fatality rate mutation of the virus, Europe has closed its border to UK, including even Scotland.
Just a hypothetical thought experiment, if the case fatality rate is significantly less with this much more contagious strain, I can put together a hypothesis that the best thing we could do is fling the worlds border open to the UK. Free flights OUT of GB!
Perhaps for a country where the virus was running rampant, that may work. I hope Australia never gets close to that though.