I don't think that they want a gaurantee, of a premiership, but he could safely go to any of half a dozen clubs , and have a hell of a lot more chance of finals then than he'd have here
Hahaha sorry I had to laugh. 50% of clubs make the finals every year. So yes actually he can choose any club for next season and _at least_ half a dozen of them will play finals, 8 of them in fact.
Which 8 though? Seriously put your money down right now, right on the counter, and pick your Top 8\. Sportsbet and/or Ladbrokes and/or William Hill and/or TAB and/or bet365 would love to have your money.
I had a laugh too, you are forgetting that he only has to pick one to go to, he's good, but not a magician . Read what I said, i never said anything about 8 teams
Tale the top 6 teams and go to any of them And they are a lot more chance of getting to the finals than we are. Or are we in line for a spectacular revival. Hope so
I repeat that there's no gaurantee, but I'd happily take my chances .
Uh you missed my point, I'll try one more time.
You said he could "safely go to any of half a dozen clubs and have a hell of a lot more chance of finals than he'd have here". Well actually that's just your opinion, it's not a safe bet at all. If it's a safe bet, put your money down, put it ALL down. You wouldn't, because it's not safe, you're just guessing it's more likely.
And no there actually isn't "a hell of a lot more chance" of playing finals anywhere but Tigers. It's just your opinion or prediction. Of all the clubs, arguably Tigers have one of the least predictable futures in the NRL, because the coach and roster are in such flux.
So I mentioned 8 teams because that's how many make the finals every year, obviously. Tedesco could randomly pick any one of the 16 clubs and have a 50% chance of playing finals before making any consideration of the form, roster, coaches etc.
I will happily consider the "top 6 teams" (I assume you mean right now Rd 4 2017) and again it's your opinion that they are more chance of making the finals _next year_ (bearing in mind Tedesco is planning for 2018).
You are exactly right, Tedesco is not a magician, he's just a punter like any of us, especially if he wants to choose clubs based on potential finals appearances. That's why it's BS to me to move to clubs "to play finals footy". How do you know they will be in the finals? Because they used to be?
AND we haven't even addressed an important point yet: where we would assume that the top teams have generally stable, well-paid and well-performing rosters. That's normally what's required for repeat finals football: high-performing and experienced footballers. Those aren't cheap. You could well argue that such "successful" clubs are much less likely to both:
a) need an elite-class fullback; and
b) be able to afford an elite-class fullback under the salary cap.
If you take the Roosters for example, generally accepted as a wealthy, politically powerful and moderately successful club. Between 1996-2004 they made the finals every year, including 4 GF appearances and 1 premiership. Really quite good! Then between 2005-2012 they made the finals twice, one of those being the GF.
If you'd joined Roosters in 2005 you could have been expected to have high hopes for playing finals football, but you would have had to wait until 2008, in other words a standard 3-year deal you would have missed out.
Similarly Roosters were minor premiers 2013-2015 and had one premiership. But then they came 15th last year. How unpredictable! And my point exactly. Even if you'd joined the 3x minor premiers you would have been second-last last year.