@avocadoontoast said in [The "it is us said:
@truetiger said in [The "it is us said:
Actually Madge at least is trying to get some wins together with this group of players,you and others may doubt his coaching ability and blame him for the way we are going this year,but have a good hard look at this teams performance week to week and then tell me Madge cant coach but the players are top level highly paid NRL stars squad....WRONG...
Inexperienced youth with talent and ability,experienced nrl players from different systems mixed with underperformance or injuries all combine to make the job a lot harder...
Madge/Hartigan have done the right thing developing the pathways and getting talented youth here that we can develop and hopefully keep,key ingrediant to solidifying a winning platform..
People have gone off the air in regard to this weeks team announcement because he has made changes that we hope lead to a winning performance,but dont suit certain people because they dont like Madge or the players selected ..
Im not in the video sessions or at training and I wouldnt have a clue what the players and Madge have worked out amongst themselves to make better use of players and positions,Madge knows the players and their ability,he also has to get the most out of the players he has available...
This club has had a rotten boys club culture that was let fester for years through poor management ..
It got Potter sacked,JT tried to get rid of the boys club and he got sacked and T Sheens always said that the players get coaches sacked...so produce stats that suit the narrative for sacking the coach but dont forget the historical record of this club ONE premiership in 21 years and a heap of SACKED coaches.....
If you ignore his Tigers record (which is awful), at Souths he won 18 of his last 51 games. That's with a team that included Inglis, Burgess brothers, Reynolds, Cook, Walker. He used to be able to coach but since 2016 he's totally lost it.
Does anyone actually ever dig into these stats? I'm a stats guy, sure, but you have to interrogate your data and try to understand what it is telling you beyond the initial appearance.
For example, Madge actually only won 18 of his last 52 games with Souths. This is comprised of 2 seasons of 9 W 15 L (12th place both times), plus a run of 4-straight losses leading into the 2015 finals campaign, where they went out first round. OK, but immediately prior to this he won 13 of the first 21 matches (62%) of 2015.
So - does a coach really, truly, forget how to coach or lose the ability to coach between Round 24 2015 and being sacked Rd 26 2017? Is that a logical argument?
Is there perhaps anything that happened in 2015 that might explain the beginning of the slide? Well, yes, that's the year Sam Burgess left to play rugby. Late 2014, after the GF win, he goes back to England. He then resurfaces in 2016... is he the same player? Ben Te'o also joins rugby at the same time.
Api Koroisau has left after 2014; there's a decline in Isaac Luke and he leaves for Warriors in 2016. Souths have signed Damien Cook but he only plays 18 games between 2016-2017 then emerges into Origin contention in 2018. BTW Cook a player identified and signed during Madge's tenure, after wallowing in reserves at Dragons and Bulldogs.
Anything else remarkable happen in 2015-2017 to explain a non-coach decline at Souths? Well Luke Keary only started 14 matches in 2016 and then signed for Roosters in 2017. Roosters finished 2nd that year and fell 1 game short of the GF, having come second-last the previous year.
2017 is also when Greg Inglis did his knee Rd 1 against Tigers and missed the rest of the season.
So you have 2015 with Burgess and Te'o gone, but Souths still make the finals, even though they are knocked out week 1. 2016 they have a bad year (9W 15L), and trying to turn things around for 2017, Luke Keary has left and Greg Inglis plays 1 match.
2018 - Cameron Murray has emerged, Cody Walker has cemented his spot, Greg Inglis is back, Angus Crichton has emerged as a key player, Damien Cook has cemented himself in Origin. Souths play finals again. Michael Maguire responsible for 100% of these signings and debuts.
Now that 2018 coach is Anthony Seibold and people reckon this guy, after serving good time as assistant coach, is the real deal. He coaches Souths to the finals, leaves after 1 year, gets Broncos to finals in 2019, then spectacularly bombs in 2020 and leaves a basketcase club trying to recover in 2021.
So amongst all that, is Anthony Seibold completely responsible for Souths playing finals in 2018? Could Madge Maguire have achieved the same thing if they had left him on, considering he would have got Inglis back, and he brought along all of the new cadre of Souths footballers - Cody Walker, Murray, Crichton, Cook, Alex Johnston?
There's so much more to it than just "18 wins out of 52". There are so many comparisons - why is it that Ivan Cleary made finals on and off during 10+ years with Warriors, Penrith and Tigers, but is almost unbeatable the last 40 rounds with Penrith? Why did Seibold have spectacular success then bomb right out? How did Wayne Bennett fail to make the finals 2/3 years at the Knights?
What about Ricky Stuart, who made the finals twice in his 9 campaigns across Sharks-Parra-Canberra, then made Raiders a legitimate title threat 2019-2020, but seems to have "lost the dressing room" completely in 2021. What about Des Hasler, who has made the finals most seasons with Dogs and Manly, but was cut by the Dogs in 2017, didn't coach in 2018, then came back in 2019 and got Manly to the finals, before having an ordinary 2020 (and 2021 still in the balance). Do Des' future fortunes have anything at all to do with the influence of 1 or 2 key players at Manly, going from laughing stock to finals contender in the space of 5 weeks?