hank37w
Well-known member
Hearing that has made me feel so much better. 🤣
The J(uro) Curve
- Thread starter Juro
- Start date
hank37w
Well-known member
Juro
Well-known member
We were only 27% at this point in 2005. Mind you, that was our low point that year, before going on our big winning streak.
Juro
Well-known member
Last week we had a gritty win. This week we had a gritty loss. We're going to need plenty of grit to turn the curve around.
We fell to a 33% chance of making the finals, our best chance at this point in a season since 2019. This would rank as 11th best of our 27 seasons to date.
I've mixed up the chart this week, to show us compared with other years where we were in a similar position at this point in the season. Those were 2002, 2005, 2008 and 2019. The interesting thing to me is that it was in the next round or two where those lines diverged. In 2005, we started our long winning streak, which carried us to the top 4. In 2008 and 2019 we weren't able to win more than a game or two in a row and only won about half of our remaining games, so their lines bounced up and down until eventually collapsing at the finish line. 2002 just went into a freefall from this point.
Key numbers are:
* 0.2% of minor premiership (-0.2% since last week)
- Panthers are 72% (-8%)
- Warriors are 14% (+6%)
- 5 team have reached 0.00%
* 6% of finishing in top 4 (-6%)
- Panthers are 97% (-1%)
- Warriors are 75% (+10%)
- Dragons are already at 0.00%
* 33% of finishing in top 8 (-12%)
- Panthers are 99.9% (-)
- Warriors are 96% (+3%)
- Dolphins are 89% (+8%)
- Dragons are the first team to reach 0.00%
* 12% of finishing in bottom 4 (+4%)
- Dragons are 99% (+1%)
- Titans are 67% (-8%)
- Raiders are 61% (+13%)
- Panthers are already at 0.00%
* 0.2% of wooden spoon (-)
- Dragons are 83% (+9%)
- Titans are 5% (-8%)
- Raiders are 4% (-)
- Rabbitohs are the 7th team to reach 0.00%
We fell to a 33% chance of making the finals, our best chance at this point in a season since 2019. This would rank as 11th best of our 27 seasons to date.
I've mixed up the chart this week, to show us compared with other years where we were in a similar position at this point in the season. Those were 2002, 2005, 2008 and 2019. The interesting thing to me is that it was in the next round or two where those lines diverged. In 2005, we started our long winning streak, which carried us to the top 4. In 2008 and 2019 we weren't able to win more than a game or two in a row and only won about half of our remaining games, so their lines bounced up and down until eventually collapsing at the finish line. 2002 just went into a freefall from this point.
Key numbers are:
* 0.2% of minor premiership (-0.2% since last week)
- Panthers are 72% (-8%)
- Warriors are 14% (+6%)
- 5 team have reached 0.00%
* 6% of finishing in top 4 (-6%)
- Panthers are 97% (-1%)
- Warriors are 75% (+10%)
- Dragons are already at 0.00%
* 33% of finishing in top 8 (-12%)
- Panthers are 99.9% (-)
- Warriors are 96% (+3%)
- Dolphins are 89% (+8%)
- Dragons are the first team to reach 0.00%
* 12% of finishing in bottom 4 (+4%)
- Dragons are 99% (+1%)
- Titans are 67% (-8%)
- Raiders are 61% (+13%)
- Panthers are already at 0.00%
* 0.2% of wooden spoon (-)
- Dragons are 83% (+9%)
- Titans are 5% (-8%)
- Raiders are 4% (-)
- Rabbitohs are the 7th team to reach 0.00%
