@kearnsy said in [Premier backs renewal of suburban NRL grounds](/post/1525852) said:
By 2036 the Macarthur region will have a projected population of around 600 000 with another 100 000 people in Wollondilly. Both these areas are OUR Junior catchments. We cannot continue to neglect these areas or the smarter clubs like Souffs, the Roosters and even the Bulldogs will continue to gain ground. Not To mention Bradfield that will be home to some 1.5 million people. Are we going to just let Say the Panthers take that whole junior area for themselves. Our Future is the South West and if we continue to treat the area like we have been since 2005 I’m sure we will lose it
I appreciate what you are saying but I also don't think the argument, based on a population basis, is that straight forward.
For example, the projected population of the LGAs covering the Balmain District are also projected to be 750K by 2036 - Burwood, Canada Bay, Hunters Hill, Inner West, Ryde and Strathfield LGAs.
Then there is the consideration of the content of the region's growth - how many NRL followers, how many immigrants, how many people with existing club affiliations?
I know the Tigers believe they are doing what they can in Macarthur - because I have asked them, and of course they will respond to protect themselves, but also they can rattle off 50 initiatives they've introduced in the region if you give them enough time to talk about it. And also, even incompetent officials won't turn away from a region if they truly believe there is a financial, business and football development future.
I'm not so convinced that financial and football development future exists in the Macarthur, or at least not as the sole or even primary focus for the club over the next decades. I don't think it's that clear-cut, and certainly not on the basis of projected population growth.
There's also an argument to be made that the traditional borders and junior nurseries of historical clubs are less and less important in the modern game, where players consider themselves more like individual commodities and where there are still 9 teams in Sydney (plus 2 more within 3 hours). Why can't Tigers compete for any and all regions of Sydney, including any and all boom juniors? Where are Tigers currently sourcing much of our emerging talent? New Zealand, Queensland, Central Coast... even Parramatta.
Who are the most successful sides of the past 10 years? It's Storm and Roosters by some margin, and they have the two worst junior nurseries in the competition. Penrith are somewhere in the Top 6 or 7, recently ascendant, and probably the pre-eminent junior nursery club in the NRL of the past decade, but other clubs with strong / sizeable junior districts have not fared nearly so well - e.g. Tigers, Dragons, Broncos, Bulldogs, Newcastle, Titans.
Finally the social-political issues of the region. Firstly: the chicken-and-egg question of whether Tigers are doing enough to drive attendance and junior football in the district, or whether the district is average and therefore not self-encouraging of the Tigers' focus. Balmain and Wests district player bases are about the same size and nowhere near that of Penrith. Crowds at Campbelltown are average at best. I know that the council gave Macarthur Bulls a $1 initial lease on Campbelltown Stadium, when Wests Tigers get no such cost convenience, and the Mayor happens to be a big association football fan.
I personally believe Tigers are doing what they think is right in the Macarthur (whether or not it is "correct"), with the current strategy of Centre of Excellence in Concord, next to the big sponsorship money (and the Wests bosses who pay the bills) and convenience of location for players, and plans to focus more (all?) of their junior programs in Macarthur. I think if the govt decides to pony up several hundred million - something no club or even the NRL can do alone - then of course we will revisit our long-term strategy for Campbelltown and the wider region. I don't trust population alone as enough of an argument. I believe if Macarthur was such a slam dunk, Wests Magpies would already have achieved it since 1987, or another club would have taken it well over since - neither has occurred.