I have to tempt fate but its an achievement that these daily numbers are staying steady. The numbers have been above 1000 for 14 days now and unless you end up in hospital, it seems to have a 14 day life before you are over it.
This means that if numbers can stay steady, although there are 1200 new cases today, effectively the 1000 cases from 14 days ago slip off the active list. It is possible at the current rate that these numbers stay like this which would mean no added burden?
Of course this is all under a harsh lockdown which is not sustainable.
I have to agree that they have stemmed the new cases this is good news .. the lockdowns are working at least ! Vaccination rates up looking good for Mid October and maybe sitting around the Xmas table .
I would think vaccination take up is having a big effect on this, 41% of the state is double dosed. It is also promising to read that NSW looks like it will get over 90% of the 16+ population vaccinated. Our first dose target for 90% looks like it'll be hit in a fortnight, with 80% first dosage to be met by Saturday this weekend.
Target dates for double doses as follows:
60% - 27 days (4th October)
70% - 41 days (18th October)
80% - 55 days (1st November)
90% - 70 days (16th November)
These figures are of the total "eligible" population not the total population. They need to be multiplied by a factor of 0.8 to get a sense of true population vaccine cover. Nonetheless, they're still encouraging numbers.
He said that in his post
Yes, and i explained for others how the more accurate measure of total population can be approximated from these figures.